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Real Avilés vs UD Ourense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Real Avilés

8th in table · 14 pts

DLWLW

Sun, 18 Oct 202617:15

3 : 0

Full time

UD Ourense

19th in table · 5 pts

DDWLL

Pre-match win probability

49.4%Real Avilés26.9%Draw23.7%UD Ourense

Our prediction

1X · Real Avilés

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence49.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Avilés 49.4%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • UD Ourense 23.7%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real AvilésUD Ourense
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.7
Wins
41
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Avilés3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctReal Unión0 – 3Real AvilésW
  • 24 OctReal Avilés1 – 3UD LogroñésL
  • 11 OctPonferradina0 – 2Real AvilésW
  • 2 OctReal Avilés1 – 2LugoL
  • 27 SeptBarakaldo3 – 3Real AvilésD
  • 19 SeptCD Coria1 – 1Real AvilésD
  • 12 SeptReal Avilés3 – 1Unionistas de SalamancaW
  • 6 SeptAthletic Club II2 – 1Real AvilésL
  • 28 AugReal Avilés0 – 1PontevedraL
UD Ourense1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 29 OctGimnástica Torrelavega3 – 1UD OurenseL
  • 24 OctArenas Getxo2 – 0UD OurenseL
  • 10 OctUD Ourense1 – 0BarakaldoW
  • 3 OctReal Unión1 – 1UD OurenseD
  • 27 SeptUD Ourense0 – 0CacereñoD
  • 19 SeptUnionistas de Salamanca3 – 1UD OurenseL
  • 12 SeptUD Ourense0 – 3UD LogroñésL
  • 5 SeptMirandes2 – 0UD OurenseL
  • 29 AugUD Ourense0 – 1PonferradinaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Real Avilés1.8
Draw3.3
UD Ourense3.75

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.83

Real Avilés

Chance49.4%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.3

UD Ourense

Chance23.7%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.2

Real AvilésUD Ourense
Recent form69%31%
Attack81%19%
Defence55%45%
Goals model81%19%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Real Avilés meet UD Ourense in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 18 October 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Avilés at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Avilés vs UD Ourense match?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?

Real Avilés is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.