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Real Jaén vs Villarreal II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Real Jaén

4th in table · 16 pts

WLDWD

Sat, 10 Oct 202617:45

3 : 3

Full time

Villarreal II

1st in table · 21 pts

WLWWD

Pre-match win probability

35%Real Jaén27.9%Draw37.2%Villarreal II

Our prediction

Villarreal II

Villarreal II is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Jaén 35%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Villarreal II 37.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real JaénVillarreal II
Goals scored (avg)
1.32.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81
Wins
46
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Jaén4W 3D 1L in last 8
  • 25 OctAtlético Madrid II1 – 1Real JaénD
  • 18 OctReal Jaén1 – 0Rayo MajadahondaW
  • 3 OctHércules0 – 0Real JaénD
  • 27 SeptAntequera2 – 0Real JaénL
  • 19 SeptReal Jaén2 – 1IbizaW
  • 12 SeptTeruel0 – 1Real JaénW
  • 6 SeptReal Jaén2 – 2HuescaD
  • 30 AugEuropa Fc0 – 3Real JaénW
Villarreal II6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctZaragoza2 – 2Villarreal IID
  • 25 OctVillarreal II4 – 1FC CartagenaW
  • 17 OctVillarreal II2 – 0TeruelW
  • 4 OctVillarreal II0 – 1IbizaL
  • 25 SeptAtlético Madrid II1 – 3Villarreal IIW
  • 19 SeptVillarreal II2 – 2AntequeraD
  • 13 SeptHuesca0 – 3Villarreal IIW
  • 4 SeptVillarreal II2 – 1AlgecirasW
  • 29 AugRayo Majadahonda1 – 2Villarreal IIW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

Real Jaén2.55
Draw3.2
Villarreal II2.4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

Real Jaén

Chance35%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Villarreal II

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Villarreal II at 2.4

Real JaénVillarreal II
Recent form43%57%
Attack37%63%
Defence52%48%
Goals model37%63%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Real Jaén scored 1.3 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Real Jaén conceded 0.8 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 8.

Real Jaén vs Villarreal II: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Real Jaén meet Villarreal II in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 10 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal II at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Jaén vs Villarreal II FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Jaén vs Villarreal II match?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?

Villarreal II is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.