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Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · MLS Next ProMon, 31 Aug 2026

Real Monarchs

6th in table · 33 pts

LLLDW

Mon, 31 Aug 202602:30

3 : 0

Full time

Tacoma Defiance

5th in table · 41 pts

WWLDD

Pre-match win probability

38.4%Real Monarchs24%Draw37.6%Tacoma Defiance

Our prediction

Real Monarchs

Real Monarchs is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence38.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Monarchs 38.4%
  • Draw 24%
  • Tacoma Defiance 37.6%

Season statistics

MLS Next Pro · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance
Goals scored (avg)
0.72.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.72.1
Wins
1214
Played
2828

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Monarchs1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 20 SeptReal Monarchs2 – 1Ventura CountyW
  • 17 SeptReal Monarchs0 – 0Minnesota United IID
  • 14 SeptThe Town4 – 0Real MonarchsL
  • 5 SeptNorth Texas4 – 1Real MonarchsL
  • 24 AugColorado Rapids II4 – 1Real MonarchsL
  • 9 AugHouston Dynamo FC II3 – 0Real MonarchsL
  • 3 AugSt. Louis City II3 – 0Real MonarchsL
  • 26 JulPortland Timbers II1 – 0Real MonarchsL
  • 20 JulReal Monarchs2 – 4Tacoma DefianceL
Tacoma Defiance4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 12 OctThe Town4 – 4Tacoma DefianceD
  • 20 SeptTacoma Defiance1 – 1Portland Timbers IID
  • 14 SeptVentura County3 – 0Tacoma DefianceL
  • 6 SeptThe Town1 – 2Tacoma DefianceW
  • 25 AugTacoma Defiance4 – 0Sporting KC IIW
  • 17 AugLos Angeles FC II4 – 3Tacoma DefianceL
  • 9 AugNorth Texas3 – 1Tacoma DefianceL
  • 2 AugTacoma Defiance4 – 2Vancouver Whitecaps IIW
  • 27 JulTacoma Defiance2 – 1Colorado Rapids IIW
H2H
Head to headReal Monarchs 3W · 2D · Tacoma Defiance 4W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 20 JulReal Monarchs2 – 4Tacoma Defiance
  • 22 JunTacoma Defiance1 – 0Real Monarchs
  • 1 SeptReal Monarchs3 – 0Tacoma Defiance
  • 18 JulTacoma Defiance2 – 2Real Monarchs
  • 12 JunReal Monarchs2 – 1Tacoma Defiance
  • 14 SeptTacoma Defiance1 – 1Real Monarchs
  • 12 AugReal Monarchs2 – 1Tacoma Defiance
  • 27 JunTacoma Defiance3 – 0Real Monarchs
  • 16 SeptReal Monarchs0 – 3Tacoma Defiance

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals60.9% · 1.5339.1% · 2.38

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Real Monarchs2.35
Draw3.75
Tacoma Defiance2.4

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Real Monarchs

Chance38.4%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance24%
Odds3.75

Tacoma Defiance

Chance37.6%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Real Monarchs at 2.35

Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance
Recent form22%78%
Attack23%77%
Defence25%75%
Goals model23%77%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall51%49%

Trends

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs conceded 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: prediction & preview

USA · MLS Next Pro · Mon, 31 Aug 2026

Real Monarchs meet Tacoma Defiance in the USA, MLS Next Pro on 31 August 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Monarchs at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance match?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 31 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Real Monarchs is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.