Get Premium

Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 5 Nov 2026

Real Sociedad

14th in table · 4 pts

DWWWL

Thu, 5 Nov 202618:45

1 : 1

Full time

Lyon

13th in table · 6 pts

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

54.3%Real Sociedad23.7%Draw22%Lyon

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad vs Lyon listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence54.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad 54.3%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Lyon 22%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real SociedadLyon
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.2
Wins
12
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Sociedad5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovAthletic Club2 – 1Real SociedadL
  • 25 OctReal Sociedad2 – 1LevanteW
  • 22 OctLillestrom0 – 6Real SociedadW
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadW
  • 15 OctUnion St. Gilloise1 – 1Real SociedadD
  • 11 OctReal Sociedad3 – 2Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadW
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthL
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridL
Lyon6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovLyon2 – 0AngersW
  • 26 OctParis Saint Germain2 – 0LyonL
  • 22 Oct1899 Hoffenheim3 – 0LyonL
  • 18 OctLyon2 – 1NiceW
  • 15 OctLyon3 – 2Crystal PalaceW
  • 9 OctLens2 – 1LyonL
  • 19 SeptLyon4 – 0RennesW
  • 16 SeptAnderlecht1 – 2LyonW
  • 12 SeptParis FC0 – 0LyonD
  • 4 SeptLyon3 – 1AuxerreW
H2H
Head to headReal Sociedad 2W · 0D · Lyon 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 28 AugReal Sociedad2 – 0Lyon
  • 20 AugLyon0 – 2Real Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62%
No38%

Double chance

1X38.7%
1237.7%
X223.6%

Match result

Real Sociedad1.7
Draw3.9
Lyon4.2

Both teams to score

Yes62% · 1.53
No38% · 2.5

1X

Chance38.7%
Odds1.22

12

Chance37.7%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance23.6%
Odds2

Real Sociedad

Chance54.3%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds3.9

Lyon

Chance22%
Odds4.2

First half result

Real Sociedad42.7% · 2.1
Draw36.6% · 2.45
Lyon20.7% · 4.33

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.17

Real SociedadLyon
Recent form46%54%
Attack56%44%
Defence44%56%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Real Sociedad scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Real Sociedad conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Real Sociedad vs Lyon: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

Real Sociedad meet Lyon in the World, UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Sociedad at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Real Sociedad are listed at 45 points per game. Lyon are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Real Sociedad vs Lyon FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Sociedad vs Lyon match?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Real Sociedad is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.