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Rennes vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Rennes

WLDWL

Fri, 11 Sept 202619:45

1 : 0

Full time

Marseille

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Rennes25%Draw29.7%Marseille

Our prediction

X · Rennes

Rennes vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rennes 45.3%
  • Draw 25%
  • Marseille 29.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

RennesMarseille
Goals scored (avg)
1.8–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Rennes3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctNice5 – 2RennesL
  • 25 OctRennes3 – 0StrasbourgW
  • 22 OctJuventus2 – 2RennesD
  • 18 OctParis FC4 – 3RennesL
  • 15 OctRennes2 – 1OFIW
  • 11 OctRennes4 – 1AuxerreW
  • 2 OctLaval1 – 0RennesL
  • 19 SeptLyon4 – 0RennesL
  • 16 SeptSturm Graz0 – 0RennesD
Marseille0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headRennes 2W · 1D · Marseille 6W · 2.7 goals a game
    • 17 MayMarseille3 – 1Rennes
    • 3 FebMarseille3 – 0Rennes
    • 15 AugRennes1 – 0Marseille
    • 17 MayMarseille4 – 2Rennes
    • 11 JanRennes1 – 2Marseille
    • 17 MarRennes2 – 0Marseille
    • 21 JanRennes1 – 1Marseille
    • 3 DecMarseille2 – 0Rennes
    • 5 MarRennes0 – 1Marseille

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
    2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
    3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5%
    No37.5%

    Double chance

    1X55.6%
    X244.4%

    Match result

    Rennes2.1
    Draw3.8
    Marseille3.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5% · 1.5
    No37.5% · 2.5

    1X

    Chance55.6%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance44.4%
    Odds1.7

    Rennes

    Chance45.3%
    Odds2.1

    Draw

    Chance25%
    Odds3.8

    Marseille

    Chance29.7%
    Odds3.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X at 3.8

    RennesMarseille
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack64%36%
    Defence50%50%
    Goals model64%36%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall60%40%

    Trends

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Rennes scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Rennes conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Rennes vs Marseille: prediction & preview

    France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

    Rennes meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rennes at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Rennes vs Marseille FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Rennes vs Marseille match?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Rennes vs Marseille?

    Rennes is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.