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Rochdale vs Grimsby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League TwoTue, 20 Oct 2026

Rochdale

19th in table · 15 pts

LDLLL

Tue, 20 Oct 202619:45

2 : 2

Full time

Grimsby

6th in table · 20 pts

DLLWW

Pre-match win probability

28.7%Rochdale25.9%Draw45.5%Grimsby

Our prediction

1 · Rochdale

Rochdale vs Grimsby listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rochdale 28.7%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • Grimsby 45.5%

Season statistics

League Two · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

RochdaleGrimsby
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.41.3
Wins
45
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Rochdale3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctPort Vale4 – 2RochdaleL
  • 24 OctRochdale0 – 5Accrington STL
  • 17 OctCrewe3 – 2RochdaleL
  • 10 OctTranmere1 – 1RochdaleD
  • 6 OctHuddersfield5 – 0RochdaleL
  • 3 OctRochdale1 – 0Swindon TownW
  • 26 SeptFleetwood Town1 – 2RochdaleW
  • 22 SeptRochdale3 – 3Liverpool U21D
  • 19 SeptRochdale2 – 0OldhamW
Grimsby3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctGrimsby5 – 2YorkW
  • 24 OctGillingham1 – 4GrimsbyW
  • 17 OctGrimsby0 – 2NorthamptonL
  • 10 OctPort Vale1 – 0GrimsbyL
  • 6 OctGrimsby0 – 0Burton AlbionD
  • 3 OctGrimsby1 – 2ShrewsburyL
  • 26 SeptNewport County2 – 1GrimsbyL
  • 22 SeptNotts County2 – 1GrimsbyL
  • 19 SeptGrimsby2 – 0Crawley TownW
H2H
Head to headRochdale 2W · 0D · Grimsby 2W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 19 JulRochdale2 – 0Grimsby
  • 11 MarGrimsby1 – 0Rochdale
  • 13 AugRochdale0 – 1Grimsby
  • 14 AugGrimsby0 – 2Rochdale

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X43.5%
X256.5%

Match result

Rochdale3.25
Draw3.6
Grimsby2.05

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance43.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance56.5%
Odds1.33

Rochdale

Chance28.7%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance25.9%
Odds3.6

Grimsby

Chance45.5%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 3.25

RochdaleGrimsby
Recent form52%48%
Attack47%53%
Defence26%74%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall39%61%

Trends

Trend · League Two

Rochdale scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Two

Rochdale conceded 2.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Two

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · League Two

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Rochdale vs Grimsby: prediction & preview

England · League Two · Tue, 20 Oct 2026

Rochdale meet Grimsby in the England, League Two on 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Grimsby at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rochdale vs Grimsby FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Rochdale vs Grimsby match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 20 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Rochdale vs Grimsby?

Grimsby is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.