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Səbail vs Karvan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Birinci DastaThu, 8 Oct 2026

Səbail

WWWLD

Thu, 8 Oct 202612:30

1 : 1

Full time

Karvan

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

49.8%Səbail26.3%Draw23.9%Karvan

Our prediction

1X · Səbail

Səbail vs Karvan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence49.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Səbail 49.8%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Karvan 23.9%

Season statistics

Birinci Dasta · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SəbailKarvan
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Səbail4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 27 OctSəbail2 – 2ZiraD
  • 21 OctŞahdağ1 – 0SəbailL
  • 15 OctZaqatala1 – 3SəbailW
  • 17 SeptBaku Sportinq0 – 1SəbailW
  • 10 SeptSəbail2 – 1MingəçevirW
  • 3 SeptXankəndi FK1 – 1SəbailD
  • 22 MayMingəçevir4 – 1SəbailL
  • 15 MaySəbail0 – 0ŞahdağD
  • 6 MayZaqatala0 – 3SəbailW
Karvan3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 22 OctMOIK3 – 1KarvanL
  • 16 OctKarvan2 – 1CəbrayılW
  • 16 SeptKarvan3 – 0ZaqatalaW
  • 9 SeptŞahdağ2 – 0KarvanL
  • 3 SeptBaku Sportinq0 – 3KarvanW
  • 24 MayImisli FK1 – 1KarvanD
  • 15 MayKarvan1 – 2QabalaL
  • 10 MayTuran1 – 0KarvanL
  • 5 MayKarvan0 – 3Neftchi BakuL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals47.4% · 252.6% · 1.8

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Səbail1.8
Draw3.4
Karvan3.75

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.83

Səbail

Chance49.8%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

Karvan

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.2

SəbailKarvan
Recent form60%40%
Attack54%46%
Defence54%46%
Goals model54%46%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Səbail scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Səbail conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Səbail vs Karvan: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · Thu, 8 Oct 2026

Səbail meet Karvan in the Azerbaijan, Birinci Dasta on 8 October 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Səbail at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Səbail vs Karvan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Səbail vs Karvan match?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 8 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Səbail vs Karvan?

Səbail is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.