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Safa Baku vs Kapaz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaSat, 24 Oct 2026

Safa Baku

11th in table · 3 pts

LLLLL

Sat, 24 Oct 202613:30

1 : 2

Full time

Kapaz

5th in table · 17 pts

DWDWW

Pre-match win probability

32%Safa Baku28.9%Draw39%Kapaz

Our prediction

2 · Safa Baku

Safa Baku vs Kapaz listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Safa Baku 32%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Kapaz 39%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

Safa BakuKapaz
Goals scored (avg)
–1.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1
Wins
15
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Safa Baku0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Kapaz5W 2D 2L in last 9
    • 1 NovKapaz1 – 0Imisli FKW
    • 28 OctKapaz3 – 1Baku SportinqW
    • 18 OctKapaz1 – 1ZiraD
    • 9 OctAraz0 – 2KapazW
    • 20 SeptKapaz1 – 1SumqayıtD
    • 12 SeptKapaz1 – 0QabalaW
    • 4 SeptKapaz1 – 4Şamaxı FKL
    • 30 AugKapaz1 – 0TuranW
    • 15 AugSabah FA2 – 0KapazL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
    1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X47%
    X253%

    Match result

    Safa Baku2.8
    Draw3.1
    Kapaz2.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.83
    No50% · 1.83

    1X

    Chance47%
    Odds1.5

    X2

    Chance53%
    Odds1.33

    Safa Baku

    Chance32%
    Odds2.8

    Draw

    Chance28.9%
    Odds3.1

    Kapaz

    Chance39%
    Odds2.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 2.3

    Safa BakuKapaz
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack45%55%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model45%55%
    Overall45%55%

    Trends

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Kapaz scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Kapaz conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Safa Baku vs Kapaz: prediction & preview

    Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

    Safa Baku meet Kapaz in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 24 October 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Kapaz at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Safa Baku vs Kapaz FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Safa Baku vs Kapaz match?

    Kickoff is 13:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Safa Baku vs Kapaz?

    Kapaz is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.