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Salernitana vs Potenza Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone CFri, 11 Sept 2026

Salernitana

12th in table · 15 pts

WDDLD

Fri, 11 Sept 202620:00

4 : 2

Full time

Potenza

1st in table · 26 pts

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

42.4%Salernitana27.9%Draw29.7%Potenza

Our prediction

Salernitana

Salernitana is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Salernitana 42.4%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Potenza 29.7%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone C · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SalernitanaPotenza
Goals scored (avg)
12.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.3
Wins
38
Played
1211

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Salernitana2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovSalernitana1 – 1SavoiaD
  • 26 OctAZ Picerno3 – 0SalernitanaL
  • 17 OctSalernitana2 – 2ScafateseD
  • 11 OctCasarano0 – 0SalernitanaD
  • 4 OctSalernitana2 – 1BariW
  • 26 SeptCrotone2 – 1SalernitanaL
  • 19 SeptSalernitana1 – 0GiuglianoW
  • 15 SeptBarletta1 – 1SalernitanaD
  • 6 SeptSalernitana1 – 1CaveseD
Potenza6W 2D 0L in last 8
  • 27 OctPotenza2 – 1BariW
  • 23 OctTeam Altamura2 – 2PotenzaD
  • 17 OctPotenza2 – 1CataniaW
  • 11 OctFoggia1 – 3PotenzaW
  • 4 OctPotenza4 – 2AZ PicernoW
  • 27 SeptBarletta1 – 4PotenzaW
  • 20 SeptPotenza4 – 2CaveseW
  • 15 SeptBari0 – 0PotenzaD
H2H
Head to headSalernitana 0W · 1D · Potenza 1W · 4.5 goals a game
  • 28 MarPotenza5 – 2Salernitana
  • 23 NovSalernitana1 – 1Potenza

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X55.6%
X244.4%

Match result

Salernitana2.1
Draw3.2
Potenza3

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance55.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.4%
Odds1.6

Salernitana

Chance42.4%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Potenza

Chance29.7%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Salernitana at 2.1

SalernitanaPotenza
Recent form35%65%
Attack28%72%
Defence51%49%
Goals model28%72%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · Serie C - Girone C

Salernitana scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie C - Girone C

Salernitana conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie C - Girone C

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie C - Girone C

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Salernitana vs Potenza: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie C - Girone C · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Salernitana meet Potenza in the Italy, Serie C - Girone C on 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Salernitana at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Salernitana vs Potenza FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Salernitana vs Potenza match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Salernitana vs Potenza?

Salernitana is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.