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San Marino vs Belarus Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

San Marino

4th in table · 0 pts

LLLLL

Thu, 12 Nov 202620:45

0 : 2

Full time

Belarus

2nd in table · 7 pts

DLDWW

Pre-match win probability

6.2%San Marino12.4%Draw81.4%Belarus

Our prediction

2-3 · San Marino

San Marino vs Belarus listed tip from the board.

Odds17.00
Confidence5.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • San Marino 6.2%
  • Draw 12.4%
  • Belarus 81.4%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

San MarinoBelarus
Goals scored (avg)
0.51.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
30.8
Wins
02
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

San Marino0W 1D 9L in last 10
  • 6 OctAlbania2 – 1San MarinoL
  • 3 OctBelarus4 – 0San MarinoL
  • 29 SeptSan Marino0 – 3AlbaniaL
  • 26 SeptSan Marino0 – 7FinlandL
  • 9 JunAzerbaijan2 – 1San MarinoL
  • 5 JunSan Marino1 – 2BangladeshL
  • 31 MarSan Marino0 – 0AndorraD
  • 28 MarSan Marino1 – 2Faroe IslandsL
  • 18 NovRomania7 – 1San MarinoL
  • 13 NovCzechia1 – 0San MarinoL
Belarus5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 6 OctBelarus1 – 0FinlandW
  • 3 OctBelarus4 – 0San MarinoW
  • 29 SeptFinland0 – 0BelarusD
  • 26 SeptAlbania2 – 0BelarusL
  • 9 JunBelarus2 – 2Burkina FasoD
  • 5 JunBelarus4 – 1SyriaW
  • 29 MarArmenia1 – 2BelarusW
  • 26 MarCyprus0 – 1BelarusW
  • 18 NovBelarus0 – 0GreeceD
  • 15 NovDenmark2 – 2BelarusD
H2H
Head to headSan Marino 0W · 0D · Belarus 3W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 3 OctBelarus4 – 0San Marino
  • 18 NovSan Marino0 – 2Belarus
  • 8 SeptBelarus5 – 0San Marino

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6510.6% · 2.2
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes34.1%
No65.9%

Double chance

1X8.7%
1244.5%
X246.7%

Match result

San Marino15
Draw7.5
Belarus1.14

Both teams to score

Yes34.1% · 2.7
No65.9% · 1.4

1X

Chance8.7%
Odds5.5

12

Chance44.5%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance46.7%
Odds1.03

San Marino

Chance6.2%
Odds15

Draw

Chance12.4%
Odds7.5

Belarus

Chance81.4%
Odds1.14

First half result

San Marino6% · 15
Draw31.3% · 2.88
Belarus62.7% · 1.44

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.29

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2-3 at 17.00

San MarinoBelarus
Recent form5%95%
Attack24%76%
Defence4%96%
Goals model24%76%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall7%93%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

San Marino scored 0.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

San Marino conceded 3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

San Marino vs Belarus: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026

San Marino meet Belarus in the World, UEFA Nations League on 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Belarus at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 81.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.4. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

San Marino are listed at 0 points per game. Belarus are listed at 50 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

San Marino vs Belarus FAQs

4 questions

What time is the San Marino vs Belarus match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for San Marino vs Belarus?

Belarus is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 81.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.