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Santos vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 9 Aug 2026

Santos

WDLWD

Sun, 9 Aug 202622:30

0 : 2

Full time

Atletico Paranaense

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

45.1%Santos29.6%Draw25.3%Atletico Paranaense

Our prediction

X2 · Santos

Santos vs Atletico Paranaense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence45.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Santos 45.1%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Atletico Paranaense 25.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SantosAtletico Paranaense
Goals scored (avg)
1.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.5–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Santos6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosW
  • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosL
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosW
  • 19 SeptRemo1 – 2SantosW
  • 16 SeptAtletico-MG4 – 2SantosL
  • 13 SeptSantos2 – 1CruzeiroW
  • 9 SeptSantos2 – 0Atletico-MGW
  • 6 SeptInternacional2 – 3SantosW
Atletico Paranaense0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headSantos 3W · 2D · Atletico Paranaense 4W · 2.2 goals a game
    • 12 FebAtletico Paranaense2 – 1Santos
    • 3 DecAtletico Paranaense3 – 0Santos
    • 5 AugSantos1 – 1Atletico Paranaense
    • 28 SeptSantos2 – 0Atletico Paranaense
    • 4 JunAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Santos
    • 30 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 1Santos
    • 15 SeptSantos0 – 1Atletico Paranaense
    • 25 AugAtletico Paranaense1 – 0Santos
    • 6 JulSantos2 – 1Atletico Paranaense

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
    2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
    3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X57.6%
    X242.4%

    Match result

    Santos2.1
    Draw3.2
    Atletico Paranaense3.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.91
    No50% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance57.6%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance42.4%
    Odds1.7

    Santos

    Chance45.1%
    Odds2.1

    Draw

    Chance29.6%
    Odds3.2

    Atletico Paranaense

    Chance25.3%
    Odds3.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.7

    SantosAtletico Paranaense
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack66%34%
    Defence60%40%
    Goals model66%34%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall64%36%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Santos scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Santos conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

    Santos vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 9 Aug 2026

    Santos meet Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil, Serie A on 9 August 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santos at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Santos vs Atletico Paranaense FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Santos vs Atletico Paranaense match?

    Kickoff is 22:30 on 9 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Santos vs Atletico Paranaense?

    Santos is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.