Get Premium

São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSun, 23 Aug 2026

São Bernardo

WLDLW

Sun, 23 Aug 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Nautico Recife

LLDLW

Pre-match win probability

42.7%São Bernardo28.4%Draw28.9%Nautico Recife

Our prediction

São Bernardo

São Bernardo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • São Bernardo 42.7%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Nautico Recife 28.9%

Season statistics

Serie B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

São BernardoNautico Recife
Goals scored (avg)
1.50.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

São Bernardo5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctSão Bernardo3 – 2Vila NovaW
  • 18 OctSão Bernardo0 – 1CriciumaL
  • 11 OctJuventude2 – 2São BernardoD
  • 6 OctSport Recife2 – 1São BernardoL
  • 2 OctSão Bernardo3 – 1CRBW
  • 25 SeptNovorizontino0 – 0São BernardoD
  • 19 SeptSão Bernardo1 – 0Atletico GoianienseW
  • 14 SeptAmerica Mineiro0 – 2São BernardoW
  • 10 SeptSão Bernardo1 – 2LondrinaL
  • 6 SeptPonte Preta0 – 2São BernardoW
Nautico Recife2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 31 OctNautico Recife1 – 0AvaiW
  • 27 OctJuventude4 – 0Nautico RecifeL
  • 19 OctGoias0 – 0Nautico RecifeD
  • 11 OctNautico Recife0 – 2Vila NovaL
  • 8 OctNautico Recife0 – 2NovorizontinoL
  • 3 OctFortaleza EC1 – 1Nautico RecifeD
  • 26 SeptNautico Recife3 – 1Sport RecifeW
  • 22 SeptCuiaba3 – 0Nautico RecifeL
  • 15 SeptNautico Recife3 – 3Operario-PRD
  • 10 SeptAmerica Mineiro2 – 1Nautico RecifeL
H2H
Head to headSão Bernardo 1W · 3D · Nautico Recife 1W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 18 AprNautico Recife0 – 3São Bernardo
  • 24 AugSão Bernardo1 – 1Nautico Recife
  • 21 AprNautico Recife1 – 1São Bernardo
  • 26 AugNautico Recife2 – 2São Bernardo
  • 2 MarSão Bernardo0 – 1Nautico Recife

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

São Bernardo2.2
Draw3.3
Nautico Recife3.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

São Bernardo

Chance42.7%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

Nautico Recife

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: São Bernardo at 2.2

São BernardoNautico Recife
Recent form65%35%
Attack63%37%
Defence63%37%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

São Bernardo scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

São Bernardo conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

São Bernardo meet Nautico Recife in the Brazil, Serie B on 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is São Bernardo at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife FAQs

4 questions

What time is the São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife?

São Bernardo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.