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São Bernardo vs Vila Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSat, 24 Oct 2026

São Bernardo

11th in table · 49 pts

DWLDL

Sat, 24 Oct 202620:30

3 : 2

Full time

Vila Nova

3rd in table · 63 pts

WDWDD

Pre-match win probability

30.1%São Bernardo31.1%Draw38.8%Vila Nova

Our prediction

Vila Nova

Vila Nova is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • São Bernardo 30.1%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Vila Nova 38.8%

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

São BernardoVila Nova
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.90.6
Wins
1318
Played
3536

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

São Bernardo4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 18 OctSão Bernardo0 – 1CriciumaL
  • 11 OctJuventude2 – 2São BernardoD
  • 6 OctSport Recife2 – 1São BernardoL
  • 2 OctSão Bernardo3 – 1CRBW
  • 25 SeptNovorizontino0 – 0São BernardoD
  • 19 SeptSão Bernardo1 – 0Atletico GoianienseW
  • 14 SeptAmerica Mineiro0 – 2São BernardoW
  • 10 SeptSão Bernardo1 – 2LondrinaL
  • 6 SeptPonte Preta0 – 2São BernardoW
Vila Nova5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 31 OctVila Nova2 – 2JuventudeD
  • 18 OctVila Nova2 – 2NovorizontinoD
  • 11 OctNautico Recife0 – 2Vila NovaW
  • 8 OctVila Nova0 – 0CuiabaD
  • 3 OctBotafogo SP0 – 1Vila NovaW
  • 26 SeptVila Nova2 – 0LondrinaW
  • 18 SeptVila Nova1 – 0America MineiroW
  • 15 SeptAvai1 – 1Vila NovaD
  • 10 SeptVila Nova2 – 0GoiasW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

São Bernardo3.1
Draw3
Vila Nova2.4

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

São Bernardo

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds3

Vila Nova

Chance38.8%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Vila Nova at 2.4

São BernardoVila Nova
Recent form42%58%
Attack48%52%
Defence47%53%
Goals model48%52%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

São Bernardo scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

São Bernardo conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

São Bernardo meet Vila Nova in the Brazil, Serie B on 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vila Nova at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is the São Bernardo vs Vila Nova match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

Vila Nova is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova prediction, H2H and stats