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São João Ver vs Varzim Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 11 Oct 2026

São João Ver

LDDDW

Sun, 11 Oct 202615:00

2 : 1

Full time

Varzim

Pre-match win probability

33.3%São João Ver30%Draw36.7%Varzim

Our prediction

Varzim

Varzim is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.45
Confidence36.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • São João Ver 33.3%
  • Draw 30%
  • Varzim 36.7%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

São João VerVarzim
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

São João Ver1W 5D 2L in last 8
  • 25 OctVianense1 – 3São João VerW
  • 13 SeptPacos Ferreira1 – 1São João VerD
  • 6 SeptSão João Ver0 – 0AD Marco 09D
  • 30 AugFlorgrade0 – 0São João VerD
  • 22 AugTrofense1 – 0São João VerL
  • 16 AugSão João Ver1 – 3FafeL
  • 9 AugLeça1 – 1São João VerD
  • 29 JulTondela1 – 1São João VerD
Varzim0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headSão João Ver 4W · 2D · Varzim 3W · 2.3 goals a game
    • 29 NovSão João Ver1 – 1Varzim
    • 16 AugVarzim4 – 0São João Ver
    • 26 JanSão João Ver4 – 1Varzim
    • 26 OctVarzim2 – 0São João Ver
    • 22 AprVarzim1 – 1São João Ver
    • 1 AprSão João Ver2 – 1Varzim
    • 11 FebVarzim0 – 1São João Ver
    • 8 NovVarzim1 – 0São João Ver
    • 29 OctSão João Ver1 – 0Varzim

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals40.1% · 2.3559.9% · 1.57

    Double chance

    1X48.6%
    X251.4%

    Match result

    São João Ver2.7
    Draw3
    Varzim2.45

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance48.6%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance51.4%
    Odds1.36

    São João Ver

    Chance33.3%
    Odds2.7

    Draw

    Chance30%
    Odds3

    Varzim

    Chance36.7%
    Odds2.45

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Varzim at 2.45

    São João VerVarzim
    Recent form89%11%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model47%53%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall48%52%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga 3

    São João Ver scored 0.9 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Liga 3

    São João Ver conceded 1 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Failed to score in 3 of those 8.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

    São João Ver vs Varzim: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

    São João Ver meet Varzim in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Varzim at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    São João Ver vs Varzim FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the São João Ver vs Varzim match?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for São João Ver vs Varzim?

    Varzim is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.