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Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo

10th in table · 43 pts

LLWDL

Sun, 18 Oct 202601:00

1 : 0

Full time

Vasco DA Gama

13th in table · 38 pts

DWLWL

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Sao Paulo29.7%Draw27.1%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

2 · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 43.2%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Vasco DA Gama 27.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloVasco DA Gama
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.2
Wins
1210
Played
3332

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sao Paulo2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloL
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
  • 20 SeptSao Paulo1 – 0InternacionalW
  • 16 SeptSao Paulo1 – 1Boca JuniorsD
  • 12 SeptPalmeiras2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 9 SeptBoca Juniors1 – 0Sao PauloL
Vasco DA Gama6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoL
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansW
  • 21 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 3Boca JuniorsL
  • 14 OctBoca Juniors0 – 1Vasco DA GamaW
  • 10 OctVasco DA Gama0 – 0RemoD
  • 8 OctBotafogo1 – 2Vasco DA GamaW
  • 20 SeptVasco DA Gama5 – 0CoritibaW
  • 15 SeptVasco DA Gama2 – 0Santa FeW
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Sao Paulo2.2
Draw3.2
Vasco DA Gama3.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Sao Paulo

Chance43.2%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Vasco DA Gama

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.5

Sao PauloVasco DA Gama
Recent form30%70%
Attack32%68%
Defence47%53%
Goals model32%68%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Sao Paulo scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Sao Paulo conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo meet Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil, Serie A on 18 October 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama match?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama?

Sao Paulo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.