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Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL League OneSun, 11 Oct 2026

Sarasota Paradise

11th in table · 40 pts

WLWLD

Sun, 11 Oct 202600:30

3 : 2

Full time

Richmond Kickers

17th in table · 26 pts

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

60.7%Sarasota Paradise21.4%Draw18%Richmond Kickers

Our prediction

Sarasota Paradise

Sarasota Paradise is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.48
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sarasota Paradise 60.7%
  • Draw 21.4%
  • Richmond Kickers 18%

Season statistics

USL League One · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sarasota ParadiseRichmond Kickers
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.1
Wins
117
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sarasota Paradise4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 25 OctSarasota Paradise2 – 2Westchester SCD
  • 21 OctSarasota Paradise2 – 3NaplesL
  • 18 OctFort Wayne1 – 3Sarasota ParadiseW
  • 4 OctSarasota Paradise2 – 3Charlotte IndependenceL
  • 26 SeptPortland Hearts of Pine1 – 4Sarasota ParadiseW
  • 20 SeptSarasota Paradise6 – 0Greenville TriumphW
  • 12 SeptForward Madison1 – 1Sarasota ParadiseD
  • 6 SeptSarasota Paradise1 – 1Spokane VelocityD
  • 3 SeptNY Cosmos1 – 2Sarasota ParadiseW
Richmond Kickers2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 24 OctRichmond Kickers0 – 1Greenville TriumphL
  • 17 OctRichmond Kickers5 – 1Corpus ChristiW
  • 8 OctNaples2 – 0Richmond KickersL
  • 3 OctRichmond Kickers3 – 2One KnoxvilleW
  • 27 SeptNY Cosmos3 – 2Richmond KickersL
  • 19 SeptRichmond Kickers1 – 2Charlotte IndependenceL
  • 17 SeptWestchester SC5 – 2Richmond KickersL
  • 12 SeptRichmond Kickers1 – 1Chattanooga Red WolvesD
  • 3 SeptFort Wayne2 – 0Richmond KickersL
H2H
Head to headSarasota Paradise 0W · 1D · Richmond Kickers 0W · 0 goals a game
  • 4 JulRichmond Kickers0 – 0Sarasota Paradise

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals60.9% · 1.5339.1% · 2.38

Double chance

1X68.4%
X231.6%

Match result

Sarasota Paradise1.48
Draw4.2
Richmond Kickers5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance68.4%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance31.6%
Odds2.4

Sarasota Paradise

Chance60.7%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance21.4%
Odds4.2

Richmond Kickers

Chance18%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sarasota Paradise at 1.48

Sarasota ParadiseRichmond Kickers
Recent form68%32%
Attack62%38%
Defence64%36%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL League One

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · USL League One

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers: prediction & preview

USA · USL League One · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Sarasota Paradise meet Richmond Kickers in the USA, USL League One on 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sarasota Paradise at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers match?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?

Sarasota Paradise is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.