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Scotland vs Slovenia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueTue, 6 Oct 2026

Scotland

3rd in table · 4 pts

LLDLW

Tue, 6 Oct 202619:45

1 : 2

Full time

Slovenia

2nd in table · 7 pts

DLDWL

Pre-match win probability

53.2%Scotland28.2%Draw18.6%Slovenia

Our prediction

X2 · Scotland

Scotland vs Slovenia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence53.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Scotland 53.2%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Slovenia 18.6%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ScotlandSlovenia
Goals scored (avg)
1.21
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2
Wins
12
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Scotland4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 3 OctFYR Macedonia0 – 2ScotlandW
  • 29 SeptScotland0 – 3SwitzerlandL
  • 26 SeptSlovenia0 – 0ScotlandD
  • 24 JunScotland0 – 3BrazilL
  • 19 JunScotland0 – 1MoroccoL
  • 14 JunHaiti0 – 1ScotlandW
  • 6 JunBolivia0 – 4ScotlandW
  • 30 MayScotland4 – 1CuraçaoW
  • 31 MarScotland0 – 1Ivory CoastL
Slovenia2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 3 OctSwitzerland2 – 1SloveniaL
  • 29 SeptSlovenia2 – 0FYR MacedoniaW
  • 26 SeptSlovenia0 – 0ScotlandD
  • 7 JunCroatia2 – 1SloveniaL
  • 4 JunSlovenia1 – 1CyprusD
  • 31 MarMontenegro2 – 3SloveniaW
  • 28 MarHungary1 – 0SloveniaL
  • 18 NovSweden1 – 1SloveniaD
  • 15 NovSlovenia0 – 2KosovoL
H2H
Head to headScotland 1W · 2D · Slovenia 0W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 26 SeptSlovenia0 – 0Scotland
  • 8 OctSlovenia2 – 2Scotland
  • 26 MarScotland1 – 0Slovenia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.9% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.7% · 2.716.3% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.6% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X62.3%
X237.7%

Match result

Scotland1.75
Draw3.3
Slovenia5

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance62.3%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.7%
Odds1.95

Scotland

Chance53.2%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance28.2%
Odds3.3

Slovenia

Chance18.6%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.95

ScotlandSlovenia
Recent form59%41%
Attack55%45%
Defence53%47%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Scotland scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Scotland conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Scotland vs Slovenia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Scotland meet Slovenia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Scotland at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Scotland vs Slovenia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Scotland vs Slovenia match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Scotland vs Slovenia?

Scotland is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.7 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.