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Sheffield Utd vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 24 Oct 2026

Sheffield Utd

WLWLL

Sat, 24 Oct 202612:30

1 : 1

Full time

Derby

DDLLL

Pre-match win probability

54.6%Sheffield Utd25.5%Draw19.9%Derby

Our prediction

1X · Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence54.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sheffield Utd 54.6%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Derby 19.9%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Sheffield UtdDerby
Goals scored (avg)
–0.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sheffield Utd0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Derby1W 2D 6L in last 9
    • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
    • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
    • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
    • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
    • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
    • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
    • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
    • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
    • 1 SeptPortsmouth0 – 2DerbyW
    H2H
    Head to headSheffield Utd 7W · 0D · Derby 2W · 2.3 goals a game
    • 2 MayDerby1 – 2Sheffield Utd
    • 1 NovSheffield Utd1 – 3Derby
    • 1 FebDerby0 – 1Sheffield Utd
    • 21 SeptSheffield Utd1 – 0Derby
    • 29 JulDerby1 – 3Sheffield Utd
    • 15 JanDerby2 – 0Sheffield Utd
    • 25 SeptSheffield Utd1 – 0Derby
    • 24 AugSheffield Utd2 – 1Derby
    • 1 SeptDerby0 – 2Sheffield Utd

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
    2.5 goals13.7% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6%
    No46.4%

    Double chance

    1X63.5%
    X236.5%

    Match result

    Sheffield Utd1.73
    Draw3.7
    Derby4.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6% · 1.73
    No46.4% · 2

    1X

    Chance63.5%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance36.5%
    Odds2.05

    Sheffield Utd

    Chance54.6%
    Odds1.73

    Draw

    Chance25.5%
    Odds3.7

    Derby

    Chance19.9%
    Odds4.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.18

    Sheffield UtdDerby
    Recent form17%83%
    Attack56%44%
    Defence48%52%
    Goals model56%44%
    Head-to-head78%22%
    Overall73%27%

    Trends

    Trend · Championship

    Derby scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Championship

    Derby conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Championship

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Sheffield Utd vs Derby: prediction & preview

    England · Championship · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

    Sheffield Utd meet Derby in the England, Championship on 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sheffield Utd at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sheffield Utd vs Derby FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Sheffield Utd vs Derby match?

    Kickoff is 12:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Sheffield Utd vs Derby?

    Sheffield Utd is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.