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South Shields vs Merthyr Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 22 Aug 2026

South Shields

1st in table · 29 pts

LLWWW

Sat, 22 Aug 202615:00

1 : 1

Full time

Merthyr Town

19th in table · 16 pts

DLWLW

Pre-match win probability

61.7%South Shields20.5%Draw17.8%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

1 · South Shields

South Shields vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence61.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Shields 61.7%
  • Draw 20.5%
  • Merthyr Town 17.8%

Season statistics

National League - North · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

South ShieldsMerthyr Town
Goals scored (avg)
2.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.8–
Wins
93
Played
1415

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

South Shields6W 0D 4L in last 10
  • 31 OctOxford City1 – 3South ShieldsW
  • 27 OctSpennymoor Town0 – 1South ShieldsW
  • 24 OctSouth Shields3 – 1ChesterW
  • 17 OctFC Halifax Town3 – 2South ShieldsL
  • 10 OctMacclesfield4 – 3South ShieldsL
  • 3 OctBuxton0 – 2South ShieldsW
  • 29 SeptBrackley Town3 – 2South ShieldsL
  • 26 SeptSouth Shields4 – 0BuxtonW
  • 19 SeptSouth Shields7 – 0Witton AlbionW
  • 12 SeptHereford6 – 0South ShieldsL
Merthyr Town0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headSouth Shields 1W · 0D · Merthyr Town 1W · 4.5 goals a game
    • 21 MarSouth Shields4 – 1Merthyr Town
    • 11 NovMerthyr Town3 – 1South Shields

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals0%1.5% · 21
    1.5 goals27.2% · 1.125.5% · 5.5
    2.5 goals21.8% · 1.411.1% · 2.75
    3.5 goals15.3% · 217.6% · 1.73

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9%
    No41.1%

    Double chance

    1X68.2%
    X231.8%

    Match result

    South Shields1.44
    Draw4.33
    Merthyr Town5

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9% · 1.57
    No41.1% · 2.25

    1X

    Chance68.2%
    Odds1.12

    X2

    Chance31.8%
    Odds2.4

    South Shields

    Chance61.7%
    Odds1.44

    Draw

    Chance20.5%
    Odds4.33

    Merthyr Town

    Chance17.8%
    Odds5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1 at 1.44

    South ShieldsMerthyr Town
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack73%27%
    Defence55%45%
    Goals model73%27%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall78%22%

    Trends

    Trend · National League - North

    South Shields scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · National League - North

    South Shields conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · National League - North

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · National League - North

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    South Shields vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

    England · National League - North · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

    South Shields meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Shields at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    South Shields vs Merthyr Town FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the South Shields vs Merthyr Town match?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for South Shields vs Merthyr Town?

    South Shields is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.