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Southampton vs Bristol City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 12 Sept 2026

Southampton

5th in table · 23 pts

WWDWW

Sat, 12 Sept 202615:00

4 : 1

Full time

Bristol City

14th in table · 18 pts

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

56.5%Southampton23.6%Draw19.9%Bristol City

Our prediction

1X · Southampton

Southampton vs Bristol City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence56.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southampton 56.5%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Bristol City 19.9%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SouthamptonBristol City
Goals scored (avg)
1.71
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.90.8
Wins
85
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Southampton5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctSouthampton4 – 1QPRW
  • 24 OctWest Ham2 – 3SouthamptonW
  • 17 OctSouthampton0 – 0BoltonD
  • 14 OctNorwich0 – 1SouthamptonW
  • 11 OctSouthampton1 – 0PortsmouthW
  • 19 SeptWrexham2 – 1SouthamptonL
  • 8 SeptSouthampton3 – 1SwanseaW
  • 5 SeptLincoln1 – 1SouthamptonD
  • 1 SeptBirmingham1 – 1SouthamptonD
Bristol City4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBolton2 – 3Bristol CityW
  • 24 OctStoke City0 – 0Bristol CityD
  • 17 OctBristol City0 – 1Sheffield UtdL
  • 13 OctBristol City0 – 1BlackburnL
  • 10 OctCharlton1 – 1Bristol CityD
  • 3 OctCrystal Palace0 – 2Bristol CityW
  • 18 SeptBristol City1 – 0WatfordW
  • 15 SeptBristol City0 – 1LincolnL
  • 5 SeptBurnley1 – 2Bristol CityW
H2H
Head to headSouthampton 2W · 1D · Bristol City 4W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 21 AprSouthampton2 – 2Bristol City
  • 21 OctBristol City3 – 1Southampton
  • 13 FebBristol City3 – 1Southampton
  • 29 NovSouthampton1 – 0Bristol City
  • 24 SeptSouthampton2 – 0Bristol City
  • 30 DecSouthampton0 – 1Bristol City
  • 26 NovBristol City2 – 0Southampton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.2% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X64.6%
X235.4%

Match result

Southampton1.67
Draw4
Bristol City4.75

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance64.6%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance35.4%
Odds2.15

Southampton

Chance56.5%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Bristol City

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

SouthamptonBristol City
Recent form56%44%
Attack63%37%
Defence49%51%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head36%64%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Southampton scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Southampton conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Southampton vs Bristol City: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Southampton meet Bristol City in the England, Championship on 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Southampton at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southampton vs Bristol City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Southampton vs Bristol City match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Southampton vs Bristol City?

Southampton is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.