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Southport vs Morecambe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Southport

23rd in table · 10 pts

DLLDL

Tue, 8 Sept 202619:45

2 : 1

Full time

Morecambe

8th in table · 23 pts

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

27.7%Southport26.9%Draw45.4%Morecambe

Our prediction

2 · Southport

Southport vs Morecambe listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence45.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southport 27.7%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Morecambe 45.4%

Season statistics

National League - North · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SouthportMorecambe
Goals scored (avg)
0.41.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.7
Wins
27
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Southport0W 2D 6L in last 8
  • 31 OctSouthport1 – 2AFC Telford UnitedL
  • 24 OctKing's Lynn Town0 – 0SouthportD
  • 17 OctSouthport0 – 2RadcliffeL
  • 10 OctHarborough Town1 – 0SouthportL
  • 26 SeptSouthport2 – 2Spennymoor TownD
  • 19 SeptMorecambe2 – 0SouthportL
  • 12 SeptWorksop Town2 – 0SouthportL
  • 5 SeptSpalding United2 – 0SouthportL
Morecambe6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctMorecambe2 – 0Scarborough AthleticW
  • 27 OctMorecambe1 – 0Darlington 1883W
  • 24 OctMerthyr Town1 – 3MorecambeW
  • 17 OctAFC Rushden & Diamonds2 – 1MorecambeL
  • 10 OctWorksop Town2 – 1MorecambeL
  • 3 OctMorecambe3 – 0Darlington 1883W
  • 26 SeptOxford City1 – 1MorecambeD
  • 19 SeptMorecambe2 – 0SouthportW
  • 12 SeptMorecambe3 – 0Brackley TownW
H2H
Head to headSouthport 0W · 0D · Morecambe 2W · 3 goals a game
  • 19 SeptMorecambe2 – 0Southport
  • 18 JulSouthport1 – 3Morecambe

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.012% · 12
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.3% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X43%
X257%

Match result

Southport3.2
Draw3.3
Morecambe1.95

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance43%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance57%
Odds1.28

Southport

Chance27.7%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.3

Morecambe

Chance45.4%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.95

SouthportMorecambe
Recent form10%90%
Attack17%83%
Defence38%62%
Goals model17%83%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall38%62%

Trends

Trend · National League - North

Southport scored 0.4 per game in the last 8.

Trend · National League - North

Southport conceded 1.6 per game in the last 8.

Trend · National League - North

Failed to score in 6 of those 8.

Trend · National League - North

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Southport vs Morecambe: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 8 Sept 2026

Southport meet Morecambe in the England, National League - North on 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Morecambe at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southport vs Morecambe FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Southport vs Morecambe match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 8 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Southport vs Morecambe?

Morecambe is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.