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Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Bulgaria · First LeagueSun, 30 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna

8th in table · 13 pts

LWWLL

Sun, 30 Aug 202617:00

1 : 1

Full time

Ludogorets

3rd in table · 29 pts

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

15.6%Spartak Varna23.4%Draw61.1%Ludogorets

Our prediction

2 · Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence61.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spartak Varna 15.6%
  • Draw 23.4%
  • Ludogorets 61.1%

Season statistics

First League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Spartak VarnaLudogorets
Goals scored (avg)
0.82.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.10.6
Wins
39
Played
1312

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Spartak Varna2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 30 OctCSKA 19486 – 1Spartak VarnaL
  • 24 OctDunav Ruse2 – 0Spartak VarnaL
  • 19 OctEtar Veliko Tarnovo2 – 4Spartak VarnaW
  • 10 OctBotev Vratsa0 – 1Spartak VarnaW
  • 20 SeptSpartak Varna0 – 1Lokomotiv SofiaL
  • 13 SeptSlavia Sofia0 – 0Spartak VarnaD
  • 5 SeptSpartak Varna1 – 1CSKA SofiaD
  • 22 AugLevski Sofia6 – 0Spartak VarnaL
  • 17 AugSpartak Varna0 – 1Septemvri SofiaL
Ludogorets7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv0 – 3LudogoretsW
  • 26 OctCSKA Sofia2 – 0LudogoretsL
  • 17 OctBeroe0 – 3LudogoretsW
  • 12 OctLudogorets5 – 0Arda KardzhaliW
  • 4 OctLudogorets5 – 0Cherno More VarnaW
  • 27 SeptLudogorets3 – 0CSM Ramnicu ValceaW
  • 14 SeptLudogorets2 – 1Septemvri SofiaW
  • 6 SeptLokomotiv Sofia1 – 2LudogoretsW
  • 22 AugLudogorets1 – 1Slavia SofiaD
H2H
Head to headSpartak Varna 0W · 1D · Ludogorets 7W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 19 MarSpartak Varna1 – 5Ludogorets
  • 18 OctLudogorets1 – 1Spartak Varna
  • 19 AprLudogorets2 – 1Spartak Varna
  • 10 NovSpartak Varna1 – 3Ludogorets
  • 4 AprLudogorets2 – 1Spartak Varna
  • 11 FebSpartak Varna1 – 2Ludogorets
  • 29 JulLudogorets5 – 0Spartak Varna
  • 23 SeptSpartak Varna0 – 1Ludogorets

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X32%
X268%

Match result

Spartak Varna6
Draw4
Ludogorets1.53

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance32%
Odds2.38

X2

Chance68%
Odds1.12

Spartak Varna

Chance15.6%
Odds6

Draw

Chance23.4%
Odds4

Ludogorets

Chance61.1%
Odds1.53

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.53

Spartak VarnaLudogorets
Recent form27%73%
Attack23%77%
Defence27%73%
Goals model23%77%
Head-to-head6%94%
Overall20%80%

Trends

Trend · First League

Spartak Varna scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · First League

Spartak Varna conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · First League

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · First League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: prediction & preview

Bulgaria · First League · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna meet Ludogorets in the Bulgaria, First League on 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ludogorets at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?

Ludogorets is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.