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St. Lucia vs Bermuda Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONCACAF Nations LeagueTue, 29 Sept 2026

St. Lucia

LLLWW

Tue, 29 Sept 202601:00

5 : 2

Full time

Bermuda

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

30.6%St. Lucia26.1%Draw43.3%Bermuda

Our prediction

Bermuda

Bermuda is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • St. Lucia 30.6%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Bermuda 43.3%

Season statistics

CONCACAF Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

St. LuciaBermuda
Goals scored (avg)
10.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.63.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

St. Lucia3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 5 OctGuadeloupe0 – 1St. LuciaW
  • 2 OctSt. Lucia3 – 0GuadeloupeW
  • 26 SeptBarbados2 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 27 MarAzerbaijan6 – 1St. LuciaL
  • 16 NovSt. Vincent / Grenadines3 – 1St. LuciaL
  • 12 NovCuba3 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 10 JunSt. Lucia2 – 1BarbadosW
  • 7 JunCuraçao4 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 19 NovCuraçao4 – 1St. LuciaL
Bermuda0W 1D 8L in last 9
  • 6 OctBermuda1 – 2BarbadosL
  • 3 OctBarbados4 – 1BermudaL
  • 25 SeptBermuda1 – 2GuadeloupeL
  • 6 JunCape Verde Islands3 – 0BermudaL
  • 25 MarCongo DR2 – 0BermudaL
  • 19 NovTrinidad and Tobago2 – 2BermudaD
  • 14 NovBermuda0 – 7CuraçaoL
  • 15 OctJamaica4 – 0BermudaL
  • 10 OctBermuda0 – 3Trinidad and TobagoL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

St. Lucia2.9
Draw3.4
Bermuda2.05

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

St. Lucia

Chance30.6%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.4

Bermuda

Chance43.3%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Bermuda at 2.05

St. LuciaBermuda
Recent form90%10%
Attack63%37%
Defence80%20%
Goals model63%37%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

St. Lucia scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

St. Lucia conceded 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

St. Lucia vs Bermuda: prediction & preview

World · CONCACAF Nations League · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

St. Lucia meet Bermuda in the World, CONCACAF Nations League on 29 September 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bermuda at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

St. Lucia vs Bermuda FAQs

4 questions

What time is the St. Lucia vs Bermuda match?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for St. Lucia vs Bermuda?

Bermuda is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.