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St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONCACAF Nations LeagueFri, 2 Oct 2026

St. Lucia

LLLWW

Fri, 2 Oct 202620:00

3 : 0

Full time

Guadeloupe

Pre-match win probability

33.4%St. Lucia23.7%Draw42.9%Guadeloupe

Our prediction

Guadeloupe

Guadeloupe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • St. Lucia 33.4%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Guadeloupe 42.9%

Season statistics

CONCACAF Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

St. LuciaGuadeloupe
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

St. Lucia3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 5 OctGuadeloupe0 – 1St. LuciaW
  • 29 SeptSt. Lucia5 – 2BermudaW
  • 26 SeptBarbados2 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 27 MarAzerbaijan6 – 1St. LuciaL
  • 16 NovSt. Vincent / Grenadines3 – 1St. LuciaL
  • 12 NovCuba3 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 10 JunSt. Lucia2 – 1BarbadosW
  • 7 JunCuraçao4 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 19 NovCuraçao4 – 1St. LuciaL
Guadeloupe0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
    1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
    2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
    3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.4% · 1.53

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9%
    No39.1%

    Double chance

    1X46.4%
    X253.6%

    Match result

    St. Lucia2.7
    Draw3.8
    Guadeloupe2.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9% · 1.53
    No39.1% · 2.38

    1X

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.62

    X2

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.4

    St. Lucia

    Chance33.4%
    Odds2.7

    Draw

    Chance23.7%
    Odds3.8

    Guadeloupe

    Chance42.9%
    Odds2.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Guadeloupe at 2.1

    St. LuciaGuadeloupe
    Recent form90%10%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence17%83%
    Goals model55%45%
    Overall44%56%

    Trends

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    St. Lucia scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    St. Lucia conceded 2.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe: prediction & preview

    World · CONCACAF Nations League · Fri, 2 Oct 2026

    St. Lucia meet Guadeloupe in the World, CONCACAF Nations League on 2 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadeloupe at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe match?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 2 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?

    Guadeloupe is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.