Get Premium

Sumqayıt vs Qabala Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaSat, 10 Oct 2026

Sumqayıt

9th in table · 8 pts

DDWLW

Sat, 10 Oct 202616:30

4 : 1

Full time

Qabala

10th in table · 8 pts

LLWWD

Pre-match win probability

37.8%Sumqayıt30%Draw32.2%Qabala

Our prediction

1X · Sumqayıt

Sumqayıt vs Qabala listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence37.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sumqayıt 37.8%
  • Draw 30%
  • Qabala 32.2%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SumqayıtQabala
Goals scored (avg)
2.40.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.2
Wins
22
Played
810

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sumqayıt2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 27 OctKür-Araz0 – 11SumqayıtW
  • 23 OctZira3 – 2SumqayıtL
  • 16 OctSumqayıt2 – 1ArazW
  • 20 SeptKapaz1 – 1SumqayıtD
  • 12 SeptSumqayıt1 – 1Şamaxı FKD
  • 6 SeptTuran2 – 1SumqayıtL
  • 31 AugSumqayıt0 – 1QarabagL
  • 16 AugSumqayıt1 – 3Neftchi BakuL
  • 22 MaySumqayıt3 – 4QarabagL
Qabala3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctQabala0 – 0QarabagD
  • 27 OctQabala3 – 0MingəçevirW
  • 23 OctAraz1 – 2QabalaW
  • 17 OctQabala0 – 4Sabah FAL
  • 18 SeptQabala0 – 3Neftchi BakuL
  • 12 SeptKapaz1 – 0QabalaL
  • 4 SeptQabala2 – 1Imisli FKW
  • 29 AugQabala0 – 0Şamaxı FKD
  • 22 AugQabala0 – 1Safa BakuL
H2H
Head to headSumqayıt 5W · 2D · Qabala 2W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 19 AprSumqayıt1 – 0Qabala
  • 20 FebSumqayıt0 – 0Qabala
  • 7 NovQabala0 – 2Sumqayıt
  • 25 MaySumqayıt1 – 0Qabala
  • 23 JanQabala0 – 1Sumqayıt
  • 29 OctSumqayıt0 – 0Qabala
  • 19 AugQabala1 – 2Sumqayıt
  • 23 AprSumqayıt2 – 3Qabala
  • 18 FebQabala2 – 1Sumqayıt

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X53%
X247%

Match result

Sumqayıt2.38
Draw3
Qabala2.8

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance53%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance47%
Odds1.5

Sumqayıt

Chance37.8%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Qabala

Chance32.2%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.33

SumqayıtQabala
Recent form42%58%
Attack75%25%
Defence40%60%
Goals model75%25%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall54%46%

Trends

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Sumqayıt scored 2.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Sumqayıt conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Sumqayıt vs Qabala: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Sumqayıt meet Qabala in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sumqayıt at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sumqayıt vs Qabala FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Sumqayıt vs Qabala match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

Sumqayıt is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.