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Sumqayıt vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaMon, 31 Aug 2026

Sumqayıt

9th in table · 8 pts

DWWLW

Mon, 31 Aug 202617:15

0 : 1

Full time

Qarabag

3rd in table · 19 pts

WWDDD

Pre-match win probability

12%Sumqayıt21.9%Draw66.1%Qarabag

Our prediction

2 · Sumqayıt

Sumqayıt vs Qarabag listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence66.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sumqayıt 12%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • Qarabag 66.1%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SumqayıtQarabag
Goals scored (avg)
2.91.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.1
Wins
25
Played
89

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sumqayıt3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 27 OctKür-Araz0 – 11SumqayıtW
  • 23 OctZira3 – 2SumqayıtL
  • 16 OctSumqayıt2 – 1ArazW
  • 10 OctSumqayıt4 – 1QabalaW
  • 20 SeptKapaz1 – 1SumqayıtD
  • 12 SeptSumqayıt1 – 1Şamaxı FKD
  • 6 SeptTuran2 – 1SumqayıtL
  • 16 AugSumqayıt1 – 3Neftchi BakuL
  • 22 MaySumqayıt3 – 4QarabagL
Qarabag4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctQabala0 – 0QarabagD
  • 25 OctSabah FA0 – 0QarabagD
  • 17 OctQarabag3 – 3Neftchi BakuD
  • 11 OctImisli FK0 – 2QarabagW
  • 18 SeptQarabag1 – 0Safa BakuW
  • 13 SeptZira1 – 1QarabagD
  • 6 SeptQarabag3 – 2ArazW
  • 27 AugQarabag1 – 4TwenteL
  • 20 AugTwente0 – 1QarabagW
H2H
Head to headSumqayıt 2W · 0D · Qarabag 7W · 3 goals a game
  • 22 MaySumqayıt3 – 4Qarabag
  • 21 NovSumqayıt2 – 4Qarabag
  • 22 AugQarabag0 – 1Sumqayıt
  • 4 MayQarabag2 – 0Sumqayıt
  • 3 MarSumqayıt0 – 2Qarabag
  • 16 DecQarabag5 – 0Sumqayıt
  • 6 OctSumqayıt0 – 1Qarabag
  • 28 AprSumqayıt1 – 0Qarabag
  • 25 FebQarabag2 – 0Sumqayıt

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.2514.8% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X26.9%
X273.1%

Match result

Sumqayıt7.5
Draw4.1
Qarabag1.36

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance26.9%
Odds2.88

X2

Chance73.1%
Odds1.06

Sumqayıt

Chance12%
Odds7.5

Draw

Chance21.9%
Odds4.1

Qarabag

Chance66.1%
Odds1.36

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.36

SumqayıtQarabag
Recent form41%59%
Attack69%31%
Defence39%61%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall15%85%

Trends

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Sumqayıt scored 2.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Sumqayıt conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Premyer Liqa

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Sumqayıt vs Qarabag: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Mon, 31 Aug 2026

Sumqayıt meet Qarabag in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 31 August 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sumqayıt vs Qarabag FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Sumqayıt vs Qarabag match?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 31 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Sumqayıt vs Qarabag?

Qarabag is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.