Get Premium

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaSun, 8 Nov 2026

Super Nova

6th in table · 39 pts

WLLLD

Sun, 8 Nov 202612:00

1 : 1

Full time

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table · 51 pts

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

26.3%Super Nova24.8%Draw48.9%BFC Daugavpils

Our prediction

BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence48.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Super Nova 26.3%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • BFC Daugavpils 48.9%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.8
Wins
1114
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Super Nova3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 1 NovFK Liepaja3 – 3Super NovaD
  • 25 OctSuper Nova0 – 3Rīgas FSL
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaL
  • 15 OctRīgas FS4 – 0Super NovaL
  • 10 OctSuper Nova2 – 1GrobiņaW
  • 20 SeptOgre United1 – 0Super NovaL
  • 15 SeptSuper Nova0 – 1RigaL
  • 10 SeptSuper Nova1 – 0TukumsW
  • 5 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1Super NovaW
  • 29 AugAuda1 – 1Super NovaD
BFC Daugavpils4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 1 NovBFC Daugavpils2 – 0TukumsW
  • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 OctBFC Daugavpils2 – 1AudaW
  • 11 OctOgre United1 – 2BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 SeptFK Liepaja0 – 0BFC DaugavpilsD
  • 13 SeptBFC Daugavpils1 – 2Rīgas FSL
  • 7 SeptRiga1 – 1BFC DaugavpilsD
  • 2 SeptBFC Daugavpils2 – 2AudaD
  • 29 AugGrobiņa1 – 0BFC DaugavpilsL
  • 22 AugSuper Nova0 – 0BFC DaugavpilsD
H2H
Head to headSuper Nova 2W · 5D · BFC Daugavpils 3W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 22 AugSuper Nova0 – 0BFC Daugavpils
  • 16 JunBFC Daugavpils0 – 0Super Nova
  • 27 AprBFC Daugavpils0 – 1Super Nova
  • 25 OctBFC Daugavpils2 – 2Super Nova
  • 2 AugSuper Nova1 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 1 JunSuper Nova4 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 15 AprBFC Daugavpils1 – 1Super Nova
  • 23 SeptSuper Nova0 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 5 JulBFC Daugavpils2 – 0Super Nova
  • 14 MaySuper Nova0 – 4BFC Daugavpils

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X25.5%
1237.7%
X236.8%

Match result

Super Nova3.4
Draw3.6
BFC Daugavpils1.83

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance25.5%
Odds1.8

12

Chance37.7%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance36.8%
Odds1.25

Super Nova

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.6

BFC Daugavpils

Chance48.9%
Odds1.83

First half result

Super Nova22.5% · 4
Draw40% · 2.25
BFC Daugavpils37.5% · 2.4

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.33

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: BFC Daugavpils at 1.83

Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
Recent form41%59%
Attack45%55%
Defence39%61%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head45%55%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Super Nova scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Super Nova conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

Super Nova meet BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia, Virsliga on 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is BFC Daugavpils at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils match?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 8 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

BFC Daugavpils is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.