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Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 16 Aug 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies

1st in table · 61 pts

LWWWD

Sun, 16 Aug 202600:30

2 : 0

Full time

Rhode Island

7th in table · 42 pts

LWDLD

Pre-match win probability

53%Tampa Bay Rowdies25%Draw22%Rhode Island

Our prediction

X2 · Tampa Bay Rowdies

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence53%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies 53%
  • Draw 25%
  • Rhode Island 22%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71
Wins
1812
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tampa Bay Rowdies5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctTampa Bay Rowdies1 – 1Miami FCD
  • 25 OctTampa Bay Rowdies2 – 0Sporting JAXW
  • 18 OctTampa Bay Rowdies1 – 0Detroit CityW
  • 11 OctIndy Eleven1 – 3Tampa Bay RowdiesW
  • 4 OctTampa Bay Rowdies1 – 2Miami FCL
  • 27 SeptSan Antonio0 – 0Tampa Bay RowdiesD
  • 20 SeptTampa Bay Rowdies4 – 0Birmingham LegionW
  • 13 SeptHartford Athletic3 – 1Tampa Bay RowdiesL
  • 6 SeptTampa Bay Rowdies2 – 0BrooklynW
  • 29 AugPittsburgh Riverhounds0 – 0Tampa Bay RowdiesD
Rhode Island4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 31 OctCharleston Battery1 – 1Rhode IslandD
  • 25 OctHartford Athletic2 – 1Rhode IslandL
  • 18 OctRhode Island1 – 1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsD
  • 15 OctRhode Island1 – 0Loudoun UnitedW
  • 11 OctDetroit City1 – 0Rhode IslandL
  • 4 OctBrooklyn1 – 3Rhode IslandW
  • 1 OctRhode Island1 – 0Indy ElevenW
  • 27 SeptCharleston Battery2 – 0Rhode IslandL
  • 20 SeptRhode Island1 – 2Miami FCL
  • 13 SeptSporting JAX0 – 3Rhode IslandW
H2H
Head to headTampa Bay Rowdies 1W · 1D · Rhode Island 3W · 3.8 goals a game
  • 10 MayRhode Island1 – 1Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • 12 OctRhode Island5 – 0Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • 18 MayTampa Bay Rowdies0 – 3Rhode Island
  • 6 OctRhode Island3 – 1Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • 30 MarTampa Bay Rowdies4 – 1Rhode Island

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.9% · 12
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.256.2% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X62.5%
X237.5%

Match result

Tampa Bay Rowdies1.7
Draw3.6
Rhode Island4.1

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance62.5%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance37.5%
Odds1.95

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Chance53%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.6

Rhode Island

Chance22%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.95

Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
Recent form56%44%
Attack56%44%
Defence53%47%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head30%70%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies meet Rhode Island in the USA, USL Championship on 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tampa Bay Rowdies at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island match?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?

Tampa Bay Rowdies is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 53%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.