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Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Tepatitlán

16th in table · 7 pts

WDLLL

Fri, 21 Aug 202602:00

3 : 2

Full time

Tlaxcala

8th in table · 22 pts

DWDWW

Pre-match win probability

28.1%Tepatitlán29.9%Draw42.1%Tlaxcala

Our prediction

Tlaxcala

Tlaxcala is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tepatitlán 28.1%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Tlaxcala 42.1%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TepatitlánTlaxcala
Goals scored (avg)
0.72.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
3.21.3
Wins
26
Played
1415

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tepatitlán1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnL
  • 18 OctPiratas3 – 0TepatitlánL
  • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1TepatitlánL
  • 10 OctTepatitlán1 – 1MonarcasD
  • 3 OctTepatitlán3 – 1CDS Tampico MaderoW
  • 19 SeptTepatitlán0 – 1Mineros de ZacatecasL
  • 13 SeptVenados FC5 – 0TepatitlánL
  • 4 SeptTepatitlán1 – 4DoradosL
  • 29 AugCruz Azul Hidalgo6 – 0TepatitlánL
Tlaxcala6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctCruz Azul Hidalgo0 – 2TlaxcalaW
  • 25 OctTlaxcala2 – 0Correcaminos UatW
  • 17 OctCA La Paz2 – 2TlaxcalaD
  • 10 OctTlaxcala4 – 2PiratasW
  • 4 OctMonarcas1 – 1TlaxcalaD
  • 26 SeptTlaxcala4 – 1CancúnW
  • 21 SeptTapatío4 – 0TlaxcalaL
  • 12 SeptTlaxcala3 – 1CDS Tampico MaderoW
  • 5 SeptDurango1 – 1TlaxcalaD
  • 29 AugTlaxcala3 – 1Venados FCW
H2H
Head to headTepatitlán 1W · 5D · Tlaxcala 3W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 1 MarTlaxcala1 – 0Tepatitlán
  • 20 SeptTepatitlán1 – 2Tlaxcala
  • 26 JanTlaxcala2 – 2Tepatitlán
  • 11 AugTepatitlán0 – 0Tlaxcala
  • 5 AprTepatitlán1 – 1Tlaxcala
  • 14 OctTlaxcala0 – 1Tepatitlán
  • 15 AprTepatitlán0 – 0Tlaxcala
  • 21 SeptTlaxcala2 – 1Tepatitlán
  • 26 JanTepatitlán1 – 1Tlaxcala

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals46.1% · 2.0553.9% · 1.75

Double chance

1X44.5%
X255.5%

Match result

Tepatitlán3.3
Draw3.1
Tlaxcala2.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

Tepatitlán

Chance28.1%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3.1

Tlaxcala

Chance42.1%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tlaxcala at 2.2

TepatitlánTlaxcala
Recent form16%84%
Attack24%76%
Defence6%94%
Goals model24%76%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall40%60%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Tepatitlán scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Tepatitlán conceded 3.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Fri, 21 Aug 2026

Tepatitlán meet Tlaxcala in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 21 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tlaxcala at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala match?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 21 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala?

Tlaxcala is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.