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Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 6 Sept 2026

Tigres UANL

15th in table · 15 pts

WDLDL

Sun, 6 Sept 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Necaxa

17th in table · 10 pts

LDLLD

Pre-match win probability

52.8%Tigres UANL27.2%Draw20%Necaxa

Our prediction

1 · Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL vs Necaxa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tigres UANL 52.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Necaxa 20%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Tigres UANLNecaxa
Goals scored (avg)
0.71
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.1
Wins
32
Played
1514

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tigres UANL2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovCF Pachuca3 – 0Tigres UANLL
  • 25 OctU.N.A.M. - Pumas1 – 1Tigres UANLD
  • 21 OctTigres UANL0 – 2LeonL
  • 18 OctGuadalajara Chivas1 – 1Tigres UANLD
  • 10 OctTigres UANL3 – 2TolucaW
  • 27 SeptTigres UANL1 – 0PueblaW
  • 19 SeptFC Juarez2 – 0Tigres UANLL
  • 13 SeptMonterrey0 – 0Tigres UANLD
  • 30 AugSantos Laguna0 – 0Tigres UANLD
Necaxa0W 3D 6L in last 9
  • 24 OctNecaxa1 – 1FC JuarezD
  • 21 OctGuadalajara Chivas1 – 0NecaxaL
  • 17 OctNecaxa0 – 2AtlasL
  • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3NecaxaD
  • 28 SeptNecaxa2 – 4Club AmericaL
  • 20 SeptAtletico San Luis3 – 1NecaxaL
  • 12 SeptNecaxa0 – 1PueblaL
  • 29 AugNecaxa1 – 3Cruz AzulL
  • 24 AugU.N.A.M. - Pumas1 – 1NecaxaD
H2H
Head to headTigres UANL 6W · 3D · Necaxa 0W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 19 AprNecaxa1 – 1Tigres UANL
  • 18 OctTigres UANL5 – 3Necaxa
  • 12 MayTigres UANL2 – 2Necaxa
  • 9 MayNecaxa0 – 0Tigres UANL
  • 2 MarNecaxa1 – 2Tigres UANL
  • 7 JulTigres UANL1 – 0Necaxa
  • 21 AprTigres UANL5 – 2Necaxa
  • 21 AugNecaxa0 – 3Tigres UANL
  • 4 MarNecaxa0 – 1Tigres UANL

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Tigres UANL1.8
Draw3.5
Necaxa4.75

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

Tigres UANL

Chance52.8%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.5

Necaxa

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.8

Tigres UANLNecaxa
Recent form77%23%
Attack41%59%
Defence67%33%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Tigres UANL scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga MX

Tigres UANL conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga MX

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Liga MX

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Tigres UANL vs Necaxa: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Tigres UANL meet Necaxa in the Mexico, Liga MX on 6 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tigres UANL at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tigres UANL vs Necaxa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Tigres UANL vs Necaxa match?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?

Tigres UANL is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.