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Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J1 LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026

Tokyo Verdy

17th in table · 11 pts

DLDWW

Sun, 11 Oct 202607:00

0 : 2

Full time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2nd in table · 29 pts

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

14.3%Tokyo Verdy25.8%Draw59.9%Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Our prediction

2 · Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence59.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tokyo Verdy 14.3%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.9%

Season statistics

J1 League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.9
Wins
29
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tokyo Verdy3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovV-varen Nagasaki1 – 2Tokyo VerdyW
  • 24 OctTokyo Verdy3 – 1Avispa FukuokaW
  • 21 OctYokohama F. Marinos2 – 2Tokyo VerdyD
  • 17 OctTokyo Verdy0 – 4FC TokyoL
  • 7 OctGainare Tottori0 – 0Tokyo VerdyD
  • 29 SeptSagan Tosu2 – 1Tokyo VerdyL
  • 19 SeptUrawa3 – 1Tokyo VerdyL
  • 13 SeptTokyo Verdy1 – 1JEF United ChibaD
  • 9 SeptBiwako Shiga0 – 1Tokyo VerdyW
Sanfrecce Hiroshima7W 0D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctMito Hollyhock0 – 3Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
  • 28 OctYokohama F. Marinos4 – 3Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  • 24 OctSanfrecce Hiroshima4 – 0Shimizu S-pulseW
  • 21 OctV-varen Nagasaki4 – 0Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  • 17 OctSanfrecce Hiroshima3 – 0Kyoto SangaW
  • 14 OctMatsumoto Yamaga0 – 1Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
  • 7 OctSanfrecce Hiroshima4 – 0IwakiW
  • 29 SeptTochigi City0 – 2Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
  • 19 SeptAvispa Fukuoka0 – 1Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
H2H
Head to headTokyo Verdy 0W · 0D · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 23 AugTokyo Verdy0 – 3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
  • 17 MaySanfrecce Hiroshima2 – 1Tokyo Verdy
  • 7 AugTokyo Verdy0 – 1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
  • 15 JunSanfrecce Hiroshima4 – 1Tokyo Verdy
  • 22 MayTokyo Verdy2 – 3Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X28.6%
X271.4%

Match result

Tokyo Verdy6.5
Draw3.6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.55

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance28.6%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.4%
Odds1.1

Tokyo Verdy

Chance14.3%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Chance59.9%
Odds1.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.55

Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
Recent form36%64%
Attack34%66%
Defence40%60%
Goals model34%66%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall19%81%

Trends

Trend · J1 League

Tokyo Verdy scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · J1 League

Tokyo Verdy conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · J1 League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · J1 League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction & preview

Japan · J1 League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Tokyo Verdy meet Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan, J1 League on 11 October 2026 at 07:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima match?

Kickoff is 07:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.