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Toluca vs Austin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Leagues CupThu, 27 Aug 2026

Toluca

LDDDD

Thu, 27 Aug 202601:30

2 : 0

Full time

Austin

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

56%Toluca25.3%Draw18.7%Austin

Our prediction

X2 · Toluca

Toluca vs Austin listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence56%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 56%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Austin 18.7%

Season statistics

Leagues Cup · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaAustin
Goals scored (avg)
21.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Toluca2W 5D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovClub America2 – 2TolucaD
  • 25 OctLeon1 – 1TolucaD
  • 22 OctToluca2 – 2Club TijuanaD
  • 18 OctToluca1 – 1Atletico San LuisD
  • 10 OctTigres UANL3 – 2TolucaL
  • 4 OctMonterrey2 – 1TolucaL
  • 26 SeptCruz Azul3 – 3TolucaD
  • 21 SeptToluca2 – 3Santos LagunaL
  • 16 SeptPuebla0 – 1TolucaW
  • 13 SeptToluca5 – 2AtlasW
Austin2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 31 OctLos Angeles Galaxy4 – 1AustinL
  • 29 OctAustin1 – 2Real Salt LakeL
  • 25 OctSporting Kansas City1 – 2AustinW
  • 18 OctAustin1 – 2Vancouver WhitecapsL
  • 15 OctLos Angeles FC3 – 1AustinL
  • 11 OctAustin1 – 4Nashville SCL
  • 27 SeptAustin3 – 3San DiegoD
  • 20 SeptFC Dallas0 – 0AustinD
  • 13 SeptVancouver Whitecaps1 – 2AustinW
  • 10 SeptAustin1 – 1Colorado RapidsD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Toluca1.67
Draw3.7
Austin5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Toluca

Chance56%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

Austin

Chance18.7%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 2.05

TolucaAustin
Recent form55%45%
Attack61%39%
Defence55%45%
Goals model61%39%
Overall75%25%

Trends

Trend · Leagues Cup

Toluca scored 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Leagues Cup

Toluca conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Leagues Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Leagues Cup

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Toluca vs Austin: prediction & preview

World · Leagues Cup · Thu, 27 Aug 2026

Toluca meet Austin in the World, Leagues Cup on 27 August 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Austin FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Toluca vs Austin match?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 27 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Toluca vs Austin?

Toluca is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.