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Toulouse vs Lille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Thu, 3 Sept 2026

Toulouse

WLDWD

Thu, 3 Sept 202619:45

0 : 1

Full time

Lille

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

23.6%Toulouse25.5%Draw51%Lille

Our prediction

GG · Toulouse

Toulouse vs Lille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.85
Confidence51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toulouse 23.6%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Lille 51%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ToulouseLille
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Toulouse2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 16 OctLe Mans0 – 3ToulouseW
  • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 3 OctToulouse2 – 3PAUL
  • 19 SeptToulouse3 – 2Le HavreW
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 29 AugStade Brestois 292 – 2ToulouseD
  • 22 AugToulouse0 – 2LyonL
  • 15 AugToulouse1 – 2Hamburger SVL
Lille4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 30 OctLille1 – 0LensW
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 21 OctLille2 – 4GalatasarayL
  • 17 OctLille1 – 1Stade Brestois 29D
  • 13 OctArsenal3 – 0LilleL
  • 10 OctLille1 – 0Le HavreW
  • 2 OctLille2 – 1Zulte WaregemW
  • 20 SeptNice2 – 1LilleL
  • 13 SeptLille2 – 0Estac TroyesW
  • 8 SeptLille2 – 3Real BetisL
H2H
Head to headToulouse 1W · 1D · Lille 7W · 3 goals a game
  • 12 AprToulouse0 – 4Lille
  • 14 SeptLille2 – 1Toulouse
  • 12 AprToulouse1 – 2Lille
  • 5 OctLille2 – 1Toulouse
  • 25 FebToulouse3 – 1Lille
  • 12 NovLille1 – 1Toulouse
  • 18 MarToulouse0 – 2Lille
  • 17 SeptLille2 – 1Toulouse
  • 22 FebLille3 – 0Toulouse

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X41%
X259%

Match result

Toulouse4
Draw3.7
Lille1.85

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance41%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59%
Odds1.25

Toulouse

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

Lille

Chance51%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.85

ToulouseLille
Recent form42%58%
Attack57%43%
Defence46%54%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall32%68%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Toulouse scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Toulouse conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Toulouse vs Lille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Thu, 3 Sept 2026

Toulouse meet Lille in the France, Ligue 1 on 3 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lille at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toulouse vs Lille FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Toulouse vs Lille match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 3 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Toulouse vs Lille?

Lille is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.