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Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · 1. LigaSat, 26 Sept 2026

Tukums II

12th in table · 20 pts

WLDLD

Sat, 26 Sept 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

JFK Ventspils

13th in table · 19 pts

WLDLW

Pre-match win probability

37.6%Tukums II23.5%Draw38.9%JFK Ventspils

Our prediction

X · Tukums II

Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence38.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tukums II 37.6%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • JFK Ventspils 38.9%

Season statistics

1. Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Tukums IIJFK Ventspils
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
3.12.3
Wins
54
Played
2525

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tukums II1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctTukums II1 – 1Riga FC IID
  • 22 OctTukums II0 – 3Super Nova 2L
  • 18 OctValmiera / BSS2 – 2Tukums IID
  • 11 OctSmiltene3 – 2Tukums IIL
  • 19 SeptTukums II3 – 1Rēzekne FAW
  • 12 SeptMārupe5 – 0Tukums IIL
  • 6 SeptTukums II0 – 3Leevon / PPKL
  • 30 AugSkanste6 – 2Tukums IIL
  • 9 AugRiga Mariners4 – 2Tukums IIL
JFK Ventspils2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctJFK Ventspils8 – 0Rēzekne FAW
  • 24 OctValmiera / BSS3 – 0JFK VentspilsL
  • 18 OctJFK Ventspils0 – 0MārupeD
  • 10 OctJFK Ventspils0 – 4Leevon / PPKL
  • 20 SeptJFK Ventspils1 – 0SkansteW
  • 12 SeptMetta / LU7 – 0JFK VentspilsL
  • 5 SeptRīgas FS II4 – 1JFK VentspilsL
  • 29 AugJFK Ventspils1 – 1Riga FC IID
  • 8 AugJFK Ventspils0 – 2Super Nova 2L
H2H
Head to headTukums II 1W · 3D · JFK Ventspils 3W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 4 AprJFK Ventspils2 – 2Tukums II
  • 22 AugJFK Ventspils4 – 1Tukums II
  • 21 AprTukums II1 – 3JFK Ventspils
  • 2 AugJFK Ventspils0 – 1Tukums II
  • 6 AprTukums II1 – 1JFK Ventspils
  • 30 SeptTukums II1 – 1JFK Ventspils
  • 28 MayJFK Ventspils1 – 0Tukums II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals62.5% · 1.537.5% · 2.5

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Tukums II2.38
Draw3.8
JFK Ventspils2.3

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Tukums II

Chance37.6%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.8

JFK Ventspils

Chance38.9%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.8

Tukums IIJFK Ventspils
Recent form38%62%
Attack52%48%
Defence12%88%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head36%64%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · 1. Liga

Tukums II scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 1. Liga

Tukums II conceded 3.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 1. Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · 1. Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 9.

Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils: prediction & preview

Latvia · 1. Liga · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Tukums II meet JFK Ventspils in the Latvia, 1. Liga on 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is JFK Ventspils at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?

JFK Ventspils is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.