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Tukums vs FS Jelgava Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaSat, 29 Aug 2026

Tukums

9th in table · 25 pts

LDLLD

Sat, 29 Aug 202615:00

1 : 4

Full time

FS Jelgava

7th in table · 32 pts

DLLLL

Pre-match win probability

34.5%Tukums26.4%Draw39%FS Jelgava

Our prediction

X · Tukums

Tukums vs FS Jelgava listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tukums 34.5%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • FS Jelgava 39%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TukumsFS Jelgava
Goals scored (avg)
0.60.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.7
Wins
58
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tukums2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 24 OctFK Liepaja0 – 0TukumsD
  • 19 OctRīgas FS2 – 0TukumsL
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaL
  • 20 SeptTukums1 – 1GrobiņaD
  • 10 SeptSuper Nova1 – 0TukumsL
  • 5 SeptTukums2 – 1Ogre UnitedW
  • 21 AugAuda3 – 0TukumsL
  • 8 AugBFC Daugavpils2 – 0TukumsL
  • 2 AugTukums2 – 1FK LiepajaW
FS Jelgava1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsL
  • 18 OctFK Liepaja3 – 0FS JelgavaL
  • 11 OctRīgas FS4 – 2FS JelgavaL
  • 19 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1RigaL
  • 12 SeptGrobiņa0 – 0FS JelgavaD
  • 5 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1Super NovaL
  • 22 AugOgre United2 – 3FS JelgavaW
  • 9 AugFS Jelgava0 – 1AudaL
  • 1 AugBFC Daugavpils2 – 1FS JelgavaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X47.8%
X252.2%

Match result

Tukums2.6
Draw3.4
FS Jelgava2.3

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

Tukums

Chance34.5%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

FS Jelgava

Chance39%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.4

TukumsFS Jelgava
Recent form67%33%
Attack46%54%
Defence55%45%
Goals model46%54%
Overall47%53%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Tukums scored 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Tukums conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 6 of those 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Tukums vs FS Jelgava: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Tukums meet FS Jelgava in the Latvia, Virsliga on 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FS Jelgava at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tukums vs FS Jelgava FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Tukums vs FS Jelgava match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Tukums vs FS Jelgava?

FS Jelgava is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.