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UCD vs Finn Harps Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ireland · First DivisionFri, 28 Aug 2026

UCD

2nd in table · 56 pts

WDWWW

Fri, 28 Aug 202619:45

5 : 4

Full time

Finn Harps

10th in table · 28 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

75.5%UCD14.5%Draw10.1%Finn Harps

Our prediction

1 · UCD

UCD vs Finn Harps listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence75.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • UCD 75.5%
  • Draw 14.5%
  • Finn Harps 10.1%

Season statistics

First Division · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

UCDFinn Harps
Goals scored (avg)
2.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–
Wins
167
Played
3636

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

UCD4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 27 OctUCD2 – 0Longford TownW
  • 24 OctLongford Town0 – 2UCDW
  • 16 OctWexford2 – 5UCDW
  • 9 OctUCD1 – 1Longford TownD
  • 2 OctTreaty United0 – 4UCDW
  • 25 SeptUCD1 – 3Bray WanderersL
  • 18 SeptCork City5 – 1UCDL
  • 11 SeptUCD2 – 2Athlone TownD
  • 4 SeptCobh Ramblers1 – 1UCDD
Finn Harps0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headUCD 6W · 1D · Finn Harps 2W · 3.6 goals a game
    • 12 JunFinn Harps0 – 5UCD
    • 17 AprUCD2 – 1Finn Harps
    • 20 FebFinn Harps2 – 1UCD
    • 17 OctFinn Harps3 – 4UCD
    • 18 JulFinn Harps3 – 0UCD
    • 11 JulUCD3 – 1Finn Harps
    • 23 MayFinn Harps1 – 2UCD
    • 7 MarUCD1 – 1Finn Harps
    • 23 AugUCD2 – 0Finn Harps

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.8% · 13
    1.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
    2.5 goals17.1% · 1.367.8% · 3
    3.5 goals12.7% · 1.8312.7% · 1.83

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5%
    No48.5%

    Double chance

    1X78.5%
    X221.5%

    Match result

    UCD1.2
    Draw6.25
    Finn Harps9

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5% · 1.8
    No48.5% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance78.5%
    Odds1.03

    X2

    Chance21.5%
    Odds3.75

    UCD

    Chance75.5%
    Odds1.2

    Draw

    Chance14.5%
    Odds6.25

    Finn Harps

    Chance10.1%
    Odds9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1 at 1.2

    UCDFinn Harps
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack68%32%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model68%32%
    Head-to-head72%28%
    Overall88%12%

    Trends

    Trend · First Division

    UCD scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · First Division

    UCD conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · First Division

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · First Division

    Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

    UCD vs Finn Harps: prediction & preview

    Ireland · First Division · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

    UCD meet Finn Harps in the Ireland, First Division on 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is UCD at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    UCD vs Finn Harps FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the UCD vs Finn Harps match?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for UCD vs Finn Harps?

    UCD is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.