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Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026

Valencia

19th in table · 6 pts

LWLDD

Sat, 24 Oct 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

Villarreal

10th in table · 12 pts

LWDLW

Pre-match win probability

27%Valencia27%Draw46.1%Villarreal

Our prediction

GG · Valencia

Valencia vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence46.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Valencia 27%
  • Draw 27%
  • Villarreal 46.1%

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ValenciaVillarreal
Goals scored (avg)
0.72.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.4
Wins
13
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Valencia1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 17 OctValencia0 – 0Athletic ClubD
  • 11 OctRacing Santander2 – 2ValenciaD
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadL
  • 15 SeptAlaves0 – 1ValenciaW
  • 11 SeptSevilla1 – 0ValenciaL
  • 6 SeptValencia0 – 5BarcelonaL
  • 30 AugDeportivo La Coruna3 – 1ValenciaL
  • 25 AugValencia0 – 1Real BetisL
  • 22 AugValencia0 – 0Celta VigoD
Villarreal4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 27 OctManacor0 – 5VillarrealW
  • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealL
  • 17 OctVillarreal0 – 0ElcheD
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealL
  • 20 SeptVillarreal3 – 1LevanteW
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealW
  • 14 SeptVillarreal1 – 2Real BetisL
  • 8 SeptBorussia Dortmund3 – 2VillarrealL
H2H
Head to headValencia 1W · 3D · Villarreal 5W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 22 FebVillarreal2 – 1Valencia
  • 25 OctValencia0 – 2Villarreal
  • 15 FebVillarreal1 – 1Valencia
  • 31 AugValencia1 – 1Villarreal
  • 17 MarVillarreal1 – 0Valencia
  • 2 JanValencia3 – 1Villarreal
  • 3 MayValencia1 – 1Villarreal
  • 31 DecVillarreal2 – 1Valencia
  • 19 AprVillarreal2 – 0Valencia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Valencia3.5
Draw3.5
Villarreal2.05

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Valencia

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Villarreal

Chance46.1%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 2.05

ValenciaVillarreal
Recent form32%68%
Attack24%76%
Defence45%55%
Goals model24%76%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall37%63%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Valencia scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Valencia conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Valencia vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Valencia meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Valencia vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Valencia vs Villarreal match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Valencia vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.