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Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaMon, 3 Aug 2026

Velez Sarsfield

3rd in table · 28 pts

WWLDW

Mon, 3 Aug 202623:00

1 : 0

Live

Independiente

5th in table · 24 pts

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

36%Velez Sarsfield33.6%Draw30.4%Independiente

Our prediction

1X · Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Velez Sarsfield 36%
  • Draw 33.6%
  • Independiente 30.4%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

Velez SarsfieldIndependiente
Wins
76
Played
1616

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Velez Sarsfield0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Independiente0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
      1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
      2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
      3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

      Both teams to score

      Yes45.3%
      No54.7%

      Double chance

      1X51.4%
      X248.6%

      Match result

      Velez Sarsfield2.62
      Draw2.8
      Independiente3.1

      Both teams to score

      Yes45.3% · 2.05
      No54.7% · 1.7

      1X

      Chance51.4%
      Odds1.36

      X2

      Chance48.6%
      Odds1.44

      Velez Sarsfield

      Chance36%
      Odds2.62

      Draw

      Chance33.6%
      Odds2.8

      Independiente

      Chance30.4%
      Odds3.1

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: 1X at 1.36

      Velez SarsfieldIndependiente
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall54%46%

      Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente: prediction & preview

      Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon, 3 Aug 2026

      Velez Sarsfield meet Independiente in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 3 August 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Velez Sarsfield at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente match?

      Kickoff is 23:00 on 3 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

      Velez Sarsfield is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 36%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.