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Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · MLS Next ProMon, 14 Sept 2026

Ventura County

2nd in table · 53 pts

WLWWL

Mon, 14 Sept 202603:00

3 : 0

Full time

Tacoma Defiance

5th in table · 41 pts

WLWDD

Pre-match win probability

44.8%Ventura County24.2%Draw30.9%Tacoma Defiance

Our prediction

1 · Ventura County

Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ventura County 44.8%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • Tacoma Defiance 30.9%

Season statistics

MLS Next Pro · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Ventura CountyTacoma Defiance
Goals scored (avg)
1.82.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.1
Wins
1814
Played
2828

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ventura County5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctVentura County0 – 1Los Angeles FC IIL
  • 26 OctPortland Timbers II0 – 1Ventura CountyW
  • 17 OctVentura County3 – 2Minnesota United IIW
  • 20 SeptReal Monarchs2 – 1Ventura CountyL
  • 10 SeptThe Town1 – 3Ventura CountyW
  • 6 SeptLos Angeles FC II1 – 1Ventura CountyD
  • 29 AugColorado Rapids II2 – 3Ventura CountyW
  • 24 AugVentura County2 – 2Portland Timbers IID
  • 15 AugHouston Dynamo FC II0 – 2Ventura CountyW
Tacoma Defiance4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 12 OctThe Town4 – 4Tacoma DefianceD
  • 20 SeptTacoma Defiance1 – 1Portland Timbers IID
  • 6 SeptThe Town1 – 2Tacoma DefianceW
  • 31 AugReal Monarchs3 – 0Tacoma DefianceL
  • 25 AugTacoma Defiance4 – 0Sporting KC IIW
  • 17 AugLos Angeles FC II4 – 3Tacoma DefianceL
  • 9 AugNorth Texas3 – 1Tacoma DefianceL
  • 2 AugTacoma Defiance4 – 2Vancouver Whitecaps IIW
  • 27 JulTacoma Defiance2 – 1Colorado Rapids IIW
H2H
Head to headVentura County 5W · 1D · Tacoma Defiance 3W · 4.4 goals a game
  • 23 MayTacoma Defiance1 – 0Ventura County
  • 30 MarTacoma Defiance0 – 1Ventura County
  • 2 AugTacoma Defiance4 – 6Ventura County
  • 3 MayVentura County1 – 2Tacoma Defiance
  • 8 MarVentura County3 – 2Tacoma Defiance
  • 21 OctTacoma Defiance4 – 0Ventura County
  • 19 AugTacoma Defiance2 – 2Ventura County
  • 1 JunVentura County3 – 2Tacoma Defiance
  • 1 AprVentura County5 – 2Tacoma Defiance

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals66.3% · 1.433.7% · 2.75

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Ventura County2
Draw3.7
Tacoma Defiance2.9

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Ventura County

Chance44.8%
Odds2

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds3.7

Tacoma Defiance

Chance30.9%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 2

Ventura CountyTacoma Defiance
Recent form55%45%
Attack44%56%
Defence67%33%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Ventura County scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Ventura County conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · MLS Next Pro

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance: prediction & preview

USA · MLS Next Pro · Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Ventura County meet Tacoma Defiance in the USA, MLS Next Pro on 14 September 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ventura County at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance match?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 14 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance?

Ventura County is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.