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Vila Nova vs Sport Recife Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSat, 8 Aug 2026

Vila Nova

3rd in table · 63 pts

DWDLD

Sat, 8 Aug 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Sport Recife

7th in table · 55 pts

WDLWD

Pre-match win probability

40.6%Vila Nova31.1%Draw28.3%Sport Recife

Our prediction

X2 · Vila Nova

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vila Nova 40.6%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Sport Recife 28.3%

Season statistics

Serie B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vila NovaSport Recife
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.3
Wins
1814
Played
3636

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vila Nova5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctVila Nova2 – 2JuventudeD
  • 24 OctSão Bernardo3 – 2Vila NovaL
  • 18 OctVila Nova2 – 2NovorizontinoD
  • 11 OctNautico Recife0 – 2Vila NovaW
  • 8 OctVila Nova0 – 0CuiabaD
  • 3 OctBotafogo SP0 – 1Vila NovaW
  • 26 SeptVila Nova2 – 0LondrinaW
  • 18 SeptVila Nova1 – 0America MineiroW
  • 15 SeptAvai1 – 1Vila NovaD
  • 10 SeptVila Nova2 – 0GoiasW
Sport Recife5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctBotafogo SP1 – 1Sport RecifeD
  • 24 OctSport Recife2 – 1CriciumaW
  • 17 OctSport Recife0 – 2Fortaleza ECL
  • 11 OctAtletico Goianiense1 – 1Sport RecifeD
  • 6 OctSport Recife2 – 1São BernardoW
  • 2 OctAthletic Club1 – 2Sport RecifeW
  • 26 SeptNautico Recife3 – 1Sport RecifeL
  • 19 SeptSport Recife2 – 1JuventudeW
  • 16 SeptCRB2 – 1Sport RecifeL
  • 11 SeptSport Recife2 – 0Ponte PretaW
H2H
Head to headVila Nova 1W · 4D · Sport Recife 4W · 1.1 goals a game
  • 1 AprSport Recife1 – 1Vila Nova
  • 17 AugVila Nova2 – 0Sport Recife
  • 26 AprSport Recife2 – 0Vila Nova
  • 3 AugVila Nova0 – 1Sport Recife
  • 18 JunSport Recife1 – 0Vila Nova
  • 6 NovVila Nova0 – 0Sport Recife
  • 19 JulSport Recife0 – 0Vila Nova
  • 17 NovSport Recife0 – 0Vila Nova
  • 21 AugVila Nova0 – 2Sport Recife

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Vila Nova2.3
Draw3
Sport Recife3.3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.57

Vila Nova

Chance40.6%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds3

Sport Recife

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.57

Vila NovaSport Recife
Recent form53%47%
Attack52%48%
Defence56%44%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Vila Nova scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Vila Nova conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

Vila Nova meet Sport Recife in the Brazil, Serie B on 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vila Nova at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vila Nova vs Sport Recife match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?

Vila Nova is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.