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Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 6 Sept 2026

Vitória SC

13th in table · 8 pts

DWLWW

Sun, 6 Sept 202618:00

0 : 0

Full time

Casa Pia

17th in table · 7 pts

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

64.8%Vitória SC22.8%Draw12.4%Casa Pia

Our prediction

1 · Vitória SC

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence64.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitória SC 64.8%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Casa Pia 12.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vitória SCCasa Pia
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
12
Wins
22
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vitória SC4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 23 OctVitória SC5 – 0MaritimoW
  • 17 OctRecreativa de Lamelas0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 12 SeptAcademico Viseu2 – 1Vitória SCL
  • 31 AugSC Braga1 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0NacionalW
  • 14 AugSporting CP3 – 2Vitória SCL
Casa Pia3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 30 OctCasa Pia0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 24 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Casa PiaL
  • 17 AugCasa Pia0 – 7BenficaL
H2H
Head to headVitória SC 2W · 4D · Casa Pia 3W · 0.9 goals a game
  • 11 MayVitória SC0 – 1Casa Pia
  • 28 DecCasa Pia0 – 0Vitória SC
  • 1 MarVitória SC1 – 0Casa Pia
  • 28 SeptCasa Pia1 – 1Vitória SC
  • 24 FebVitória SC0 – 2Casa Pia
  • 23 SeptCasa Pia0 – 0Vitória SC
  • 19 FebCasa Pia0 – 0Vitória SC
  • 29 AugVitória SC0 – 1Casa Pia
  • 1 AugCasa Pia0 – 1Vitória SC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X69.4%
X230.6%

Match result

Vitória SC1.44
Draw4.1
Casa Pia7.5

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance69.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance30.6%
Odds2.5

Vitória SC

Chance64.8%
Odds1.44

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4.1

Casa Pia

Chance12.4%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.44

Vitória SCCasa Pia
Recent form59%41%
Attack65%35%
Defence67%33%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall84%16%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Vitória SC scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Vitória SC conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Vitória SC meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitória SC at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vitória SC vs Casa Pia match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?

Vitória SC is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.