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Vitória SC vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaFri, 23 Oct 2026

Vitória SC

LDWLW

Fri, 23 Oct 202620:45

5 : 0

Full time

Maritimo

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

58.5%Vitória SC25.3%Draw16.3%Maritimo

Our prediction

1X · Vitória SC

Vitória SC vs Maritimo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence58.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitória SC 58.5%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Maritimo 16.3%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vitória SCMaritimo
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vitória SC3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 17 OctRecreativa de Lamelas0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 12 SeptAcademico Viseu2 – 1Vitória SCL
  • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
  • 31 AugSC Braga1 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0NacionalW
  • 14 AugSporting CP3 – 2Vitória SCL
Maritimo2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 27 OctSporting CP2 – 1MaritimoL
  • 18 OctAlcochetense1 – 2MaritimoW
  • 10 OctMaritimo1 – 2FC PortoL
  • 19 SeptGIL Vicente1 – 1MaritimoD
  • 14 SeptMoreirense3 – 1MaritimoL
  • 5 SeptMaritimo0 – 3BenficaL
  • 29 AugArouca2 – 1MaritimoL
  • 22 AugMaritimo2 – 2Academico ViseuD
  • 16 AugFamalicao1 – 2MaritimoW
H2H
Head to headVitória SC 7W · 2D · Maritimo 0W · 1.2 goals a game
  • 29 AprMaritimo1 – 2Vitória SC
  • 13 NovVitória SC1 – 0Maritimo
  • 13 MarMaritimo0 – 1Vitória SC
  • 22 OctVitória SC2 – 1Maritimo
  • 16 MayMaritimo0 – 0Vitória SC
  • 31 JanVitória SC1 – 0Maritimo
  • 19 JulVitória SC1 – 0Maritimo
  • 12 JanMaritimo0 – 0Vitória SC
  • 4 MarVitória SC1 – 0Maritimo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Vitória SC1.6
Draw3.7
Maritimo5.75

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.15

Vitória SC

Chance58.5%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

Maritimo

Chance16.3%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.17

Vitória SCMaritimo
Recent form58%42%
Attack40%60%
Defence65%35%
Goals model40%60%
Head-to-head89%11%
Overall78%22%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Vitória SC scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Vitória SC conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Vitória SC vs Maritimo: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

Vitória SC meet Maritimo in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 23 October 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitória SC at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitória SC vs Maritimo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vitória SC vs Maritimo match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vitória SC vs Maritimo?

Vitória SC is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.