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Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa Do BrasilFri, 7 Aug 2026

Vitoria

WLDDL

Fri, 7 Aug 202600:00

4 : 0

Full time

Atletico Paranaense

DWLDL

Pre-match win probability

39.8%Vitoria29.6%Draw30.6%Atletico Paranaense

Our prediction

2 · Vitoria

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitoria 39.8%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Atletico Paranaense 30.6%

Season statistics

Copa Do Brasil · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.52

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vitoria2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 31 OctCoritiba2 – 0VitoriaL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaL
  • 8 OctVitoria4 – 0Chapecoense-scW
  • 20 SeptVitoria1 – 3CruzeiroL
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 8 SeptVitoria1 – 0GremioW
  • 3 SeptVitoria0 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
  • 29 AugAtletico-MG2 – 1VitoriaL
Atletico Paranaense3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 12 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 4Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 20 SeptAtletico Paranaense2 – 1BahiaW
  • 12 SeptCoritiba3 – 3Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 6 SeptCruzeiro3 – 1Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 30 AugAtletico Paranaense3 – 3FluminenseD
  • 25 AugBotafogo2 – 3Atletico ParanaenseW
H2H
Head to headVitoria 1W · 1D · Atletico Paranaense 7W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 4 AugAtletico Paranaense2 – 0Vitoria
  • 26 AprAtletico Paranaense3 – 1Vitoria
  • 2 NovAtletico Paranaense1 – 2Vitoria
  • 30 JunVitoria0 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 17 NovVitoria1 – 2Atletico Paranaense
  • 29 JulAtletico Paranaense4 – 0Vitoria
  • 19 OctVitoria2 – 3Atletico Paranaense
  • 25 JunAtletico Paranaense4 – 1Vitoria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Vitoria2.38
Draw3.2
Atletico Paranaense3.1

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Vitoria

Chance39.8%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Atletico Paranaense

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.1

VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
Recent form41%59%
Attack39%61%
Defence60%40%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · Copa Do Brasil

Vitoria scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Copa Do Brasil

Vitoria conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Copa Do Brasil

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Copa Do Brasil

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · Fri, 7 Aug 2026

Vitoria meet Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil, Copa Do Brasil on 7 August 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitoria at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 7 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Vitoria is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.