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Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ATue, 8 Sept 2026

Vitoria

14th in table · 38 pts

WLDDL

Tue, 8 Sept 202600:00

1 : 0

Full time

Gremio

15th in table · 37 pts

DDLWW

Pre-match win probability

44.1%Vitoria28.8%Draw27.1%Gremio

Our prediction

2 · Vitoria

Vitoria vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitoria 44.1%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Gremio 27.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VitoriaGremio
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.3
Wins
109
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vitoria1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctCoritiba2 – 0VitoriaL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaL
  • 8 OctVitoria4 – 0Chapecoense-scW
  • 20 SeptVitoria1 – 3CruzeiroL
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 3 SeptVitoria0 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
  • 29 AugAtletico-MG2 – 1VitoriaL
Gremio3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 26 OctCoritiba0 – 1GremioW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroL
  • 11 OctGremio1 – 1InternacionalD
  • 7 OctRemo1 – 1GremioD
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptBotafogo3 – 2GremioL
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
  • 4 SeptGremio3 – 1InternacionalW
H2H
Head to headVitoria 0W · 3D · Gremio 6W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 19 MarGremio2 – 0Vitoria
  • 28 SeptGremio3 – 1Vitoria
  • 27 AprVitoria1 – 1Gremio
  • 5 DecVitoria1 – 1Gremio
  • 21 JulGremio2 – 0Vitoria
  • 3 AugGremio1 – 0Vitoria
  • 28 JulVitoria0 – 3Gremio
  • 25 NovVitoria0 – 0Gremio
  • 12 AugGremio4 – 0Vitoria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Vitoria2.15
Draw3.3
Gremio3.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

Vitoria

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Gremio

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.5

VitoriaGremio
Recent form33%67%
Attack46%54%
Defence43%57%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Vitoria scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Vitoria conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Vitoria vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Tue, 8 Sept 2026

Vitoria meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 8 September 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitoria at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitoria vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vitoria vs Gremio match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 8 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vitoria vs Gremio?

Vitoria is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.