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VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · Eerste DivisieFri, 16 Oct 2026

VVV Venlo

WWWLW

Fri, 16 Oct 202619:00

4 : 4

Full time

Jong AZ

DWLWL

Pre-match win probability

55.3%VVV Venlo21.7%Draw22.9%Jong AZ

Our prediction

1 · VVV Venlo

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • VVV Venlo 55.3%
  • Draw 21.7%
  • Jong AZ 22.9%

Season statistics

Eerste Divisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VVV VenloJong AZ
Goals scored (avg)
2.32.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.62

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

VVV Venlo6W 0D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctMVV1 – 2VVV VenloW
  • 28 OctVVV Venlo0 – 2VitesseL
  • 24 OctDordrecht2 – 4VVV VenloW
  • 9 OctJong Ajax0 – 3VVV VenloW
  • 4 OctVVV Venlo2 – 0RodaW
  • 26 SeptFC Volendam3 – 2VVV VenloL
  • 18 SeptJong Utrecht1 – 3VVV VenloW
  • 11 SeptVVV Venlo3 – 1FC OSSW
  • 4 SeptHelmond Sport4 – 2VVV VenloL
Jong AZ4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctRoda2 – 1Jong AZL
  • 23 OctJong AZ5 – 4Helmond SportW
  • 9 OctJong AZ0 – 1Den BoschL
  • 18 SeptJong AZ4 – 1FC VolendamW
  • 14 SeptJong PSV U211 – 1Jong AZD
  • 11 SeptHeracles3 – 2Jong AZL
  • 5 SeptDordrecht3 – 6Jong AZW
  • 31 AugJong AZ2 – 1Jong UtrechtW
  • 28 AugJong AZ1 – 2MVVL
H2H
Head to headVVV Venlo 2W · 1D · Jong AZ 6W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 16 JanVVV Venlo1 – 3Jong AZ
  • 7 NovJong AZ0 – 2VVV Venlo
  • 3 FebJong AZ3 – 0VVV Venlo
  • 8 NovVVV Venlo0 – 1Jong AZ
  • 10 JulVVV Venlo2 – 1Jong AZ
  • 22 AprJong AZ2 – 1VVV Venlo
  • 3 NovVVV Venlo2 – 2Jong AZ
  • 12 JulVVV Venlo1 – 2Jong AZ
  • 3 FebJong AZ4 – 3VVV Venlo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
2.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.6% · 3.6
3.5 goals14.2% · 1.6711.3% · 2.1

Both teams to score

Yes71%
No29%

Double chance

1X63.3%
X236.7%

Match result

VVV Venlo1.7
Draw4.33
Jong AZ4.1

Both teams to score

Yes71% · 1.33
No29% · 3.25

1X

Chance63.3%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance36.7%
Odds2.1

VVV Venlo

Chance55.3%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

Jong AZ

Chance22.9%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.7

VVV VenloJong AZ
Recent form58%42%
Attack49%51%
Defence58%42%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo scored 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

VVV Venlo meet Jong AZ in the Netherlands, Eerste Divisie on 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is VVV Venlo at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.33.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ FAQs

4 questions

What time is the VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?

VVV Venlo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.33. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.