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Watford vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026

Watford

21st in table · 11 pts

LLWLL

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

0 : 4

Full time

Burnley

22nd in table · 9 pts

DDLLD

Pre-match win probability

31.3%Watford26.9%Draw41.8%Burnley

Our prediction

X2 · Watford

Watford vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence41.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Watford 31.3%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Burnley 41.8%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

WatfordBurnley
Goals scored (avg)
0.91
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.8
Wins
31
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Watford2W 0D 7L in last 9
  • 31 OctNorwich3 – 2WatfordL
  • 24 OctWolves1 – 0WatfordL
  • 17 OctWatford2 – 0CharltonW
  • 13 OctCardiff5 – 1WatfordL
  • 18 SeptBristol City1 – 0WatfordL
  • 12 SeptWatford1 – 2Stoke CityL
  • 8 SeptWatford2 – 1PrestonW
  • 5 SeptWest Brom1 – 0WatfordL
  • 1 SeptSwansea2 – 0WatfordL
Burnley0W 5D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctBurnley0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 24 OctLincoln4 – 1BurnleyL
  • 16 OctBurnley1 – 2WolvesL
  • 13 OctBurnley2 – 2CharltonD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptSwansea3 – 1BurnleyL
  • 8 SeptWrexham1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 5 SeptBurnley1 – 2Bristol CityL
  • 2 SeptBurnley1 – 1MiddlesbroughD
H2H
Head to headWatford 1W · 3D · Burnley 5W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 18 AprWatford1 – 2Burnley
  • 21 DecBurnley2 – 1Watford
  • 14 FebBurnley1 – 1Watford
  • 12 AugWatford1 – 0Burnley
  • 30 AprWatford1 – 2Burnley
  • 5 FebBurnley0 – 0Watford
  • 25 JunBurnley1 – 0Watford
  • 23 NovWatford0 – 3Burnley
  • 19 JanWatford0 – 0Burnley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Watford3
Draw3.5
Burnley2.25

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Watford

Chance31.3%
Odds3

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

Burnley

Chance41.8%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.4

WatfordBurnley
Recent form55%45%
Attack47%53%
Defence50%50%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Watford scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Watford conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Watford vs Burnley: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Watford meet Burnley in the England, Championship on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Burnley at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Watford vs Burnley FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Watford vs Burnley match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Watford vs Burnley?

Burnley is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.