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West Brom vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSun, 23 Aug 2026

West Brom

4th in table · 24 pts

LWWDW

Sun, 23 Aug 202612:00

3 : 1

Full time

Burnley

22nd in table · 9 pts

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

38.2%West Brom28.4%Draw33.4%Burnley

Our prediction

1 · West Brom

West Brom vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds2.45
Confidence38.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • West Brom 38.2%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Burnley 33.4%

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

West BromBurnley
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.6
Wins
71
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

West Brom5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctWest Ham1 – 3West BromW
  • 24 OctPreston1 – 1West BromD
  • 17 OctWest Brom3 – 2BlackburnW
  • 13 OctWrexham1 – 2West BromW
  • 10 OctWest Brom0 – 1BirminghamL
  • 20 SeptWolves1 – 0West BromL
  • 12 SeptWest Brom1 – 1QPRD
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromW
  • 5 SeptWest Brom1 – 0WatfordW
  • 2 SeptWest Brom1 – 1CharltonD
Burnley1W 5D 4L in last 10
  • 31 OctBurnley0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 24 OctLincoln4 – 1BurnleyL
  • 16 OctBurnley1 – 2WolvesL
  • 13 OctBurnley2 – 2CharltonD
  • 10 OctWatford0 – 4BurnleyW
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptSwansea3 – 1BurnleyL
  • 8 SeptWrexham1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 5 SeptBurnley1 – 2Bristol CityL
  • 2 SeptBurnley1 – 1MiddlesbroughD
H2H
Head to headWest Brom 1W · 6D · Burnley 2W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 11 MarBurnley1 – 1West Brom
  • 7 NovWest Brom0 – 0Burnley
  • 20 JanBurnley2 – 1West Brom
  • 2 SeptWest Brom1 – 1Burnley
  • 20 FebBurnley0 – 0West Brom
  • 19 OctWest Brom0 – 0Burnley
  • 31 MarWest Brom1 – 2Burnley
  • 19 AugBurnley0 – 1West Brom
  • 6 MayBurnley2 – 2West Brom

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

West Brom2.45
Draw3.3
Burnley2.8

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

West Brom

Chance38.2%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

Burnley

Chance33.4%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 2.45

West BromBurnley
Recent form69%31%
Attack50%50%
Defence60%40%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · Championship

West Brom scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

West Brom conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

West Brom vs Burnley: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

West Brom meet Burnley in the England, Championship on 23 August 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is West Brom at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

West Brom vs Burnley FAQs

4 questions

What time is the West Brom vs Burnley match?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for West Brom vs Burnley?

West Brom is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.