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Willem II vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 30 Aug 2026

Willem II

18th in table · 2 pts

LLLWL

Sun, 30 Aug 202613:30

2 : 2

Full time

Heerenveen

7th in table · 18 pts

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

24.2%Willem II21.8%Draw54%Heerenveen

Our prediction

Heerenveen

Heerenveen is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence54%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Willem II 24.2%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Heerenveen 54%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Willem IIHeerenveen
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
3.61
Wins
05
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Willem II1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 31 OctPSV Eindhoven7 – 0Willem IIL
  • 27 OctHelmond Sport3 – 4Willem IIW
  • 24 OctWillem II1 – 6CambuurL
  • 17 OctSparta Rotterdam3 – 2Willem IIL
  • 11 OctUtrecht3 – 1Willem IIL
  • 19 SeptWillem II0 – 1Fortuna SittardL
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIL
  • 11 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Willem IID
  • 5 SeptWillem II0 – 3ExcelsiorL
Heerenveen5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctHeerenveen1 – 0NEC NijmegenW
  • 28 OctExcelsior Maassluis0 – 2HeerenveenW
  • 24 OctADO Den Haag2 – 3HeerenveenW
  • 16 OctHeerenveen4 – 0ExcelsiorW
  • 9 OctPSV Eindhoven2 – 0HeerenveenL
  • 19 SeptSparta Rotterdam0 – 4HeerenveenW
  • 13 SeptHeerenveen0 – 0TelstarD
  • 6 SeptHeerenveen2 – 3AZ AlkmaarL
  • 22 AugHeerenveen0 – 2PEC ZwolleL
H2H
Head to headWillem II 2W · 2D · Heerenveen 4W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 4 AprHeerenveen3 – 1Willem II
  • 8 DecWillem II1 – 2Heerenveen
  • 5 MarWillem II0 – 0Heerenveen
  • 21 NovHeerenveen2 – 1Willem II
  • 13 MarWillem II3 – 1Heerenveen
  • 12 SeptHeerenveen2 – 0Willem II
  • 22 JanHeerenveen4 – 4Willem II
  • 13 DecHeerenveen1 – 2Willem II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.8% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.1% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X38.5%
X261.5%

Match result

Willem II3.9
Draw4.33
Heerenveen1.75

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance38.5%
Odds2

X2

Chance61.5%
Odds1.25

Willem II

Chance24.2%
Odds3.9

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Heerenveen

Chance54%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Heerenveen at 1.75

Willem IIHeerenveen
Recent form20%80%
Attack38%62%
Defence5%95%
Goals model38%62%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall31%69%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Willem II scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Willem II conceded 3.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Willem II vs Heerenveen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Willem II meet Heerenveen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 30 August 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heerenveen at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Willem II vs Heerenveen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Willem II vs Heerenveen match?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Heerenveen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.