Get Premium

York vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · EFL TrophyTue, 15 Sept 2026

York

DDWLL

Tue, 15 Sept 202619:00

1 : 3

Full time

Newcastle United U21

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

67.4%York17.1%Draw15.6%Newcastle United U21

Our prediction

York

York is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.33
Confidence67.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • York 67.4%
  • Draw 17.1%
  • Newcastle United U21 15.6%

Season statistics

EFL Trophy · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

YorkNewcastle United U21
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

York2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctGrimsby5 – 2YorkL
  • 27 OctBarnet3 – 1YorkL
  • 24 OctYork2 – 0Port ValeW
  • 20 OctYork1 – 1Accrington STD
  • 17 OctNewport County1 – 1YorkD
  • 10 OctYork1 – 1NorthamptonD
  • 26 SeptYork3 – 0GillinghamW
  • 22 SeptYork1 – 1RotherhamD
  • 19 SeptChesterfield2 – 0YorkL
Newcastle United U214W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 30 OctNewcastle United U212 – 0Peterborough United U21W
  • 26 OctNewcastle United U213 – 2Sunderland U21W
  • 13 OctHartlepool1 – 2Newcastle United U21W
  • 9 OctNewcastle United U214 – 1Luton Town U21W
  • 6 OctSolihull Moors2 – 1Newcastle United U21L
  • 22 SeptBradford2 – 1Newcastle United U21L
  • 19 SeptLeeds United U212 – 0Newcastle United U21L
  • 8 SeptBoreham Wood2 – 1Newcastle United U21L
  • 31 AugNewcastle United U210 – 4Fulham U21L
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.011.9% · 12
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
3.5 goals11.1% · 2.113.9% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X72.4%
X227.6%

Match result

York1.33
Draw5.25
Newcastle United U215.75

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance72.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance27.6%
Odds2.88

York

Chance67.4%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance17.1%
Odds5.25

Newcastle United U21

Chance15.6%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: York at 1.33

YorkNewcastle United U21
Recent form45%55%
Attack45%55%
Defence54%46%
Goals model45%55%
Overall81%19%

Trends

Trend · EFL Trophy

York scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · EFL Trophy

York conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · EFL Trophy

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · EFL Trophy

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

York vs Newcastle United U21: prediction & preview

England · EFL Trophy · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

York meet Newcastle United U21 in the England, EFL Trophy on 15 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is York at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

York vs Newcastle United U21 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the York vs Newcastle United U21 match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for York vs Newcastle United U21?

York is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.