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Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tapatío Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

9th in table · 22 pts

LWWWW

Fri, 28 Aug 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Tapatío

11th in table · 18 pts

LWLLD

Pre-match win probability

28.6%Alebrijes de Oaxaca28.6%Draw42.9%Tapatío

Our prediction

2 · Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tapatío listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 28.6%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Tapatío 42.9%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92.2
Wins
75
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alebrijes de Oaxaca5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 0Mineros de ZacatecasW
  • 23 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 1Cruz Azul HidalgoW
  • 18 OctLeones Negros UDG1 – 2Alebrijes de OaxacaW
  • 9 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 1Correcaminos UatW
  • 4 OctPiratas4 – 0Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 25 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 3CA La PazL
  • 20 SeptCancún3 – 0Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 11 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 0DurangoW
  • 6 SeptMonarcas4 – 1Alebrijes de OaxacaL
Tapatío2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovPiratas1 – 1TapatíoD
  • 26 OctTapatío1 – 2MonarcasL
  • 18 OctDurango5 – 0TapatíoL
  • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1TepatitlánW
  • 10 OctTapatío2 – 4CA La PazL
  • 4 OctCancún1 – 0TapatíoL
  • 21 SeptTapatío4 – 0TlaxcalaW
  • 13 SeptDorados3 – 1TapatíoL
  • 7 SeptTapatío1 – 3Leones Negros UDGL
H2H
Head to headAlebrijes de Oaxaca 5W · 2D · Tapatío 2W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 14 MarAlebrijes de Oaxaca4 – 3Tapatío
  • 4 OctTapatío0 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 1 FebAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 3Tapatío
  • 17 AugTapatío6 – 0Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 8 MarTapatío1 – 2Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 1 AugAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 1Tapatío
  • 3 MarTapatío1 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  • 4 AugAlebrijes de Oaxaca4 – 0Tapatío
  • 23 MarTapatío0 – 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals50% · 1.950% · 1.9

Double chance

1X45.9%
X254.1%

Match result

Alebrijes de Oaxaca3.3
Draw3.3
Tapatío2.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance45.9%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance54.1%
Odds1.33

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Tapatío

Chance42.9%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.2

Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
Recent form68%32%
Attack41%59%
Defence58%42%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall40%60%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Alebrijes de Oaxaca conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tapatío: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Alebrijes de Oaxaca meet Tapatío in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 28 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tapatío at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tapatío FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tapatío match?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tapatío?

Tapatío is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.